San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors Recommended Bet

San Antonio Spurs (6-7 SU, 9-4-0 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (5-8 SU, 4-9-0 ATS)
When: Monday, November 14th, 10:00 PM (ET)
Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco
TV: NBCS

Point Spread: SA +9/ GS -9
Total: 232.0
Money Line: San Antonio Spurs +250/ -319

Notable Injuries

Spurs

• Zach Collins (Out) Heel
• Blake Wesley (Out) Knee

Warriors

• Andre Iguodala (Out) Injury Management
• Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Out) Back

Recent Form

The Spurs come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 6-7. So far, the team has gone 9-4-0 against the spread. In the team’s past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 1-2. San Antonio is 3-0 vs. the spread in these matchups.

The Spurs will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Bucks by a score of 111-93. Heading into the game, they were 2 point favorites on the spread, giving them an ATS win. San Antonio put together a strong second half, as they only held an 8-point lead going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Keldon Johnson, as he contributed 29 points while hitting 52.9% of his shots.

So far, the Warriors have put together an overall record of 5-8, while going 4-9-0 vs the spread. In their previous 3 games, the Warriors are averaging 112 points per game while allowing 112. This has led to a record of 2-1.

In their previous game, the Warriors were favored to win vs the Kings. However, their 122-115 loss gave them both a straight-up and ATS defeat. Golden State was not able to make a comeback in this matchup, as they went into the half down by 2. In the loss, Stephen Curry led the team in scoring with 27 points on a field goal percentage of 52.9%.

The Historicals

Last season, the Spurs and Warriors split their season series, with each team going 2-2. However, San Antonio managed to get the better of Golden State on the road, going 2-0 away from home. Similar to their season-long average, the Spurs averaged 109.0 points per game vs the Warriors. Similar to the Spurs, the Warriors scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs San Antonio, the team averaged 109.75 points per game. Across the last 5 matchups between the teams, San Antonio has gone 3-2 vs the spread. However, the Warriors actually have a positive scoring margin in these games at +5 points per game. A combined average of 215 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 1-3-1.

Analysis

This season, the San Antonio offense is ranked 14th in the NBA in scoring at 113.5 points per game. The Spurs come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 13.4 made 3’s per game. The Spurs’ offense could be a candidate to see their overall numbers improve as they are not only a strong 3-point shooting unit but are an above-average team in terms of pace.

On defense, the Spurs will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 23rd-ranked unit in points allowed per game.

Small-Forward Keldon Johnson currently leads the Spurs at 23.58 points per game. For the season, he is 48th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 19.3% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Johnson is averaging 5.25 boards and 3.67 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 24th-ranked defense at defending small forwards. Devin Vassell enters the game, sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 9 games, he is averaging 21.0 and is 63rd in the league in player efficiency rating.

Through 13 games, Golden State is the 7th-best scoring team at 116.2 points per game. For the season, the Warriors have been playing an up-tempo style of basketball as they sit 2nd in the NBA in possessions per game. If the Warriors’ offense is going to continue to produce at their current level, they would benefit from an improvement in their outside shooting. Currently, they are the 13th-ranked team in 3-point shooting percentage.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Warriors are giving up an average of 105.46 points per game, good for 3rd in the NBA.

Point-Guard Stephen Curry currently leads the Spurs at 32.75 points per game. For the season, he is 21st in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 23.4% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Curry is averaging 6.75 boards and 6.5 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 19th-ranked defense at defending point guards. Andrew Wiggins enters the game, sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 12 games, he is averaging 19.0 and is 83rd in the league in player efficiency rating.

Betting Trends

• Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
• Spurs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win.
• Warriors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
• Warriors are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Take the UNDER 232.5