Sacramento vs. Golden State: Betting Preview & Analysis for 11/1/23

Sacramento Kings (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS)

When: Wednesday, November 1st, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Sac +7/GS -7

Total: 234

Money Line: Sacramento Kings +234/-290

Notable Injuries

Kings

• Trey Lyles (Out) Calf
• De’Aaron Fox (Out) Ankle

Warriors

• Klay Thompson (Probable) Knee
• Dario Saric (Probable) Hip
• Jonathan Kuminga (Questionable) Knee

Recent Form

In their most recent game, the Kings emerged victorious against the Lakers with a final score of 132-127, bringing their overall record to 2-1.

Most recently, the Warriors faced off against the Pelicans and emerged victorious with a final score of 130-102, bringing their overall record to 3-1.

The Historicals

Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Warriors have an average scoring margin of +4 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 2-3. Combined, they averaged 232 points in these games.

Analysis

Leading the Kings against the Lakers, De’Aaron Fox scored 37 points, and Malik Monk scored 22 points. Fox’s performance included making 14 out of 24 field goal attempts and 3 out of 8 three-point attempts, while Monk made 7 out of 17 field goal attempts and 4 out of 9 three-point attempts.

On defense vs. the Lakers, the Sacramento Kings allowed 127 points, made 6 steals, forced 10 turnovers, secured 41 defensive rebounds, and had 7 blocked shots.

Golden State’s leading scorer was Stephen Curry, who scored 42 points in the game against New Orleans. Trayce Jackson-Davis also contributed with 13 points. Curry had an impressive shooting performance, making 15 out of 22 field goal attempts and 7 out of 13 three-point attempts. On the other hand, Jackson-Davis made 5 out of 9 field goal attempts.

Defensively, the Warriors recorded 6 steals, 43 defensive rebounds, and allowed 102 points on the defensive end in their most recent game. Additionally, they had 7 blocked shots and forced 14 turnovers, further strengthening their defensive effort.

Betting Trends

• In their last ten games away from home, the Kings have a straight-up record of 5-5 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 118 points per game in this stretch.
• When looking at their past five home matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 112 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
• The last ten games that Sacramento was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 4-6 straight up.
• In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Warriors have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Without De’Aaron Fox, I just don’t see the Kings being able to keep up on offense. Being without Fox’s playmaking ability will limit the Kings’ ability to keep up in what is expected to be a high-scoring game. Golden State’s offensive firepower should be too much in this matchup. I like the Warriors at -7.