Sacramento Kings vs. Phoenix Suns Free Pick for Feb 13, 2024

Sacramento Kings (30-22 SU, 27-25 ATS) vs. Phoenix Suns (31-22 SU, 21-31 ATS)

When: Tuesday, February 13th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Footprint Center, AZ, Phoenix

TV: TNT

Point Spread: Sac +5/Pho -5

Total: 245

Money Line: Kings +163/Suns -198

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Notable Injuries

Kings

• Sasha Vezenkov (Out) Ankle
• Chris Duarte (Questionable) Ankle

Suns

• Damion Lee (Out) Knee

At 10:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (+163) will travel to take on the Phoenix Suns (-198) in a Western Pacific division matchup. The Suns are favored by 5 points, and the over/under line is set at 245.

This game will be played at Footprint Center in Phoenix. The Kings are currently 7th in the Western Conference with a record of 30-22, while the Suns are 6th in the West at 31-22.

Recent Form

Sacramento is 30-22 this season and is currently 7th in the Western Conference. In the Pacific Division, they are in 3rd place. Today, they are 5-point underdogs against the Suns.

In games against other Western Conference teams, the Kings are 19-14 compared to 11-8 in non-conference games. On the road, they are 15-13 and 16-12 ATS.

This season, Sacramento has gone 8-6 ATS as the underdog and 5-9 straight-up. As the underdog, they have lost their last two games ATS and have a scoring differential of -2.2 points per game.

In their most recent game against the Thunder, the Kings lost 127-113. The O/U line for that game was 239.5, and the Kings were 3-point underdogs going into the game.

The Kings have hit the over in six straight games, and their O/U record for the season is 27-24-1. On average, their games have finished with 236.7 points.

In the Western Conference standings, the Suns are currently in 6th place with a record of 31-22. Within the Pacific Division, they are in 2nd place.

At home, the Suns have a scoring differential of +2.6 points per game. They have won their last five games at home and have an overall record of 16-11 at home.

Phoenix is favored by 5 points against the Kings and has a record of 26-14 as the favorite this season. In the Western Conference, they are 18-15 against other teams and 13-7 in non-conference games.

The Suns were favored by 1.5 points in their last game against the Warriors but lost by a score of 113-112. This dropped their ATS record at home to 9-17 for the season.

On the season, the Suns have an O/U record of 26-27, with an average of 231.8 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 245 is higher than 50 of their previous games.

Phoenix’s most recent game against the Warriors finished with a combined score of 225, falling short of the O/U line of 242.5. The Suns lost the game straight up and did not cover the spread.

The Historicals

In terms of betting, Sacramento has an ATS record of 5-0 in the previous 5 matchups vs Phoenix. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +7 points per game in favor of the Kings. Over the course of these games, they averaged 237 points per game, leading a 2-3 over-under record.

Analysis

When it comes to scoring, the Kings are 9th in the NBA at 118.6 points per game. However, they have been slightly better at home (121.8) compared to on the road (115.8).

One of the reasons for Sacramento’s success on offense has been their three-point shooting. They are 3rd in the league in both three-point makes (15) and attempts (40.3) per game. Overall, the Kings are shooting 37% from beyond the arc.

When it comes to pace, Sacramento is 7th in the NBA at 100.3 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 11th in the league at 48%.

On defense, the Kings are ranked 22nd in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 55.8% of their games. Inside the arc, the Kings defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.5% and 39.5% from three-point territory.

Heading into tonight’s game, the Suns are 12th in the league in scoring at 117.4 points per game. At home, they are averaging 117.2 points per game this season.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Phoenix is 8th in the NBA at 37%. Overall, they are 2nd in field goal percentage at 49%.

So far, the Suns have outscored the NBA scoring average in 54.7% of their games this season. In terms of pace, they are 18th in the league at 98.3 possessions per game.

In terms of defense, Suns is currently on par with the NBA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 114.4 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Suns squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 53.4% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.8% from downtown.

Betting Trends

• Across the Kings last ten road games, the team averaged 120 points per game while allowing 121. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 5-5 straight-up.
• Although Phoenix has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 123 points per game in these games.
• Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Kings have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
• Phoenix has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

After taking it to the Nuggets last Friday, the Kings got throttled by the Thunder on Sunday. Now, they take on a Suns team that is coming off a tough loss to Steph Curry and the Warriors. Coming into tonight’s game, the Kings are just a .5 game behind the Suns in the Western Conference standings but are +5 point underdogs. But the way I’m playing this one is to take the under, as I see this being a lower-scoring game than expected, with the line sitting at 245 points.

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