Sacramento Kings vs. Minnesota Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview – Nov 24, 2023

Sacramento Kings (8-6 SU, 8-6 ATS) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (11-3 SU, 8-5 ATS)

When: Friday, November 24th, 8:00 PM (ET)

Where: Target Center, MN, Minneapolis

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Sac +4/Min -4

Total: 229.5

Money Line: Sacramento Kings +146/-177

Notable Injuries

Kings

• Alex Len (Out) Ankle
• Keegan Murray (Out) Back
• Keon Ellis (Out) Ankle
• Colby Jones (Questionable) Hip

Timberwolves

• Jordan McLaughlin (Out) Knee
• Jaden McDaniels (Out) Ankle
• Jaylen Clark (Out) Achilles

Recent Form

Getting ready to face the Timberwolves, the Kings hold an overall record of 8-6 and need a win to break their two game losing streak. Currently, in the Western Conference, the team is ranked 6th, and they are 2nd in the Pacific division.

Today’s matchup sees the Timberwolves seeking to extend their current three game winning streak, with an overall record standing at 11-3. On the road this season, the Timberwolves have posted a 4-3 record, whereas they have a 7-0 record at home.

The Historicals

The level of competition has been tight in the 5 most recent games between Kings and Timberwolves with just 1 points per game separating the teams. Minnesota has the ATS edge in this span at 3-2. In these contests, they averaged a combined 241 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

In their recent matchup, the Kings’ offense ended with 112 points against the Pelicans. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 44.7% and made 15 threes. The Kings offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 42.6 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 34% of their looks from outside this season.

Currently, the Kings’ defense holds the 20th rank in the NBA, allowing 115.6 points per game.

When it comes to forced turnovers, the Kings are forcing 13.4 per game, which is 13th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 24th in blocked shots at 4.4 per game.

The Timberwolves offense is coming off a game in which they scored 112 points vs. the 76ers. Overall, their field goal percentage was 48.3% while connecting on ten threes. Anthony Edwards led the team in scoring, putting up 31 points. Additionally, Karl-Anthony Towns contributed 23 points for the Timberwolves.

Coming into today’s game, the Timberwolves’ defense is giving up an average of 105.8 points per contest.

When it comes to forced turnovers, the Timberwolves are forcing 13.9 per game, which is 19th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 5th in blocked shots at 6.2 per game.

Betting Trends

• Sacramento has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 117 points per game while allowing 117. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
• In their last ten games at home, the Timberwolves have a straight-up record of 4-6 while going 2-7-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 108 points per game in these contests.
• Through their last three games as the underdog, the Kings have an ATS record of 3-0 and a straight-up mark of 2-1.
• Although the Timberwolves have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-2-1.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

This matchup between the Kings and Wolves should be a fun one to tune into, as I think these two teams are going to both have big days on the offensive side of the floor. With the total sitting at 229.5, I think this a great opportunity to take the over.