Sacramento Kings vs. Indiana Pacers Pick & Predictions 2/2/24

Sacramento Kings (27-19 SU, 24-22 ATS) vs. Indiana Pacers (27-22 SU, 27-20 ATS)

When: Friday, February 2nd, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, IN, Indianapolis

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Sac -3/Ind +3

Total: 248

Money Line: Sacramento Kings -148/+122

Notable Injuries

Kings

• Sasha Vezenkov (Questionable) Ankle

Pacers

• Bennedict Mathurin (Questionable) Toe

At 7:30 ET, the Pacers will host the Kings in a non-conference matchup. Indiana is currently 6th in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Central Division. They have a 27-22 record and are looking to snap a 2-game losing streak. The Kings are 5th in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Pacific Division. They have a 27-19 record and are favored by 3 points.

This game can be seen on NBCS and will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The over/under line is set at 248 points.

Recent Form

Sacramento’s O/U record for the season is 21-24-1, and their games have averaged 235.5 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 248, and the team’s last three games have gone under the posted total.

In the Western Conference standings, the Kings are currently in 5th place with a record of 27-19. Within the Pacific Division, they are 2nd. On the road, Sacramento is 13-11 this season.

This season, the Kings are 24-22 against the spread, and they have failed to cover in their last two games. On the road, their ATS record is 14-10, and they are favored by 3 points today.

In their most recent game, the Kings lost to the Heat by a score of 115-106. The O/U line for that game was 228 points, and Sacramento was getting 2.5 points going into the game.

In their most recent game, the Pacers fell to the Knicks by a score of 109-105. The O/U line for the game was 234 points, and Indiana was getting 2 points going into the game.

This season, Indiana has an O/U record of 29-20, and their games have averaged a combined 243.4 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 248 points.

Against the spread, Indiana is 27-20 for the season and has gone 14-10 ATS at home. As the underdog, they have covered the spread in 17 of their 27 games.

Indiana is currently 6th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 27-22. In the Central Division, they are in 3rd place. The Pacers have lost their last two games.

At home, the Pacers are 16-9 this season and have won three straight games. On average, they are outscoring their opponents by 6.5 points per game.

As the underdog, Indiana has gone 15-14 this season. Today, they are getting 3 points against the Kings.

The Historicals

Spanning across the last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Kings and Pacers have been competitive, with an average margin of victory sitting at just 2 points per game. This has resulted in a 3-2 ATS record for Indiana. A combined average of 222 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

So far this season, the Kings are 9th in the league in scoring at 118.1 points per game. However, they have been slightly worse on the road, averaging 115.2 points per game.

In terms of pace, Sacramento is 9th in the league at 100.1 possessions per game. This has led to them being 4th in the league in three-point attempts at 40.4 per game. Overall, they are 12th in three-point shooting at 37%.

When it comes to two-point shooting, the Kings are 4th in the league at 56%. However, they are just 27th in free throw attempts and 27th in offensive rebounds.

At this time, the Kings’ defense is positioned 20th in the NBA, permitting 117.4 points per game. Sacramento’s defense is currently forcing 12.7 turnovers per game, which is 13th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 27th in blocked shots, with an average of 4 rejections per game.
       

So far this season, the Pacers have been the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 124.4 points per game. They have been particularly strong at home, where they are averaging 126.8 points per game. In terms of pace, Indiana is 3rd in the NBA at 101.8 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Pacers are the top-ranked team in field goal percentage at 50%. They have also been effective from two-point range, making 58% of their attempts (1st). From three-point range, Indiana is 6th in the league at 38%.

So far, the Pacers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 71.4% of their games. In terms of assists, they are the top team in the league at 30.9 per game. However, they are just 20th in offensive rebounds.

Facing Sacramento, the Pacers aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 122.6 points allowed per game (28th). Opponents are hitting 56.8% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 37.4% of their three-point attempts.

Betting Trends

• Through their last five road contests, the Kings offense has averaged 116 points per game while allowing an average of 115. Sacramento posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 ATS.
• In their last three games at home, the Pacers have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 1-1-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 113 points per game in these contests.
• As the betting underdog, the Pacers have an ATS mark of just 6-2-2 in their last ten games. Indiana posted a straight-up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Kings have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

This non-conference matchup should be one of the more exciting games of the slate. Both team’s love to push the pace and can put up big numbers on offense. The way I’m playing this one is to take the Pacers to cover at +3.