Pistons vs. Celtics Free Pick, Odds, Analysis for 2/15/23

Detroit Pistons (15-43 SU, 26-31-1 ATS) vs. Boston Celtics (41-17 SU, 30-26-2 ATS)
When: Wednesday, February 15th, 7:30 PM (ET)
Where: TD Garden, MA, Boston
TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Det +9/Bos -9
Total: 228.5
Money Line: Detroit Pistons +313/-411

Notable Injuries

Pistons

• Nerlens Noel (Out) Not With Team
• Marvin Bagley III (Out) Hand
• Cade Cunningham (Out) Shin

Celtics

• Marcus Smart (Out) Ankle
• Al Horford (Questionable) Knee
• Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee
• Jaylen Brown (Out) Face
• Jayson Tatum (Questionable) Illness

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Detroit is 15-43 overall. When taking to the road, Detroit has a mark of 7-22 and a win percentage of 24%. Currently, the team is 15th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 26-31-1 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 1-4 in their past five games and 2-3 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 3-7 SU and 5-5 ATS.

In their last game, Detroit was defeated by the Raptors by a score of 119-118. Bojan Bogdanovic led the team in scoring with 33 points on a shooting percentage of 55.6%. Despite the loss, the Pistons managed to cover the spread as 11-point underdogs heading into the game. They will be looking to bounce back in their next game.

Heading into the game, Boston is 41-17 overall. When playing at home, Boston has a mark of 23-7 and a win percentage of 77%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 30-26-2 vs. the spread. In Boston’s last five games, the Celtics have a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 4-0-1 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 6-4 and 5-4-1 ATS.

In their last game, Boston was defeated by the Bucks with a score of 131-125. Despite Derrick White scoring 27 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Celtics were 9-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Celtics picked up the 128-112 win over the Pistons. The Celtics’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as a 13.5-point favorite. So far this season, the Celtics have a record of 3-0 vs. the Pistons. The Celtics have had the better record vs. the spread over the last five games, going 3-2. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 11 points per game. Over the course of these games, they averaged 221 points per game, leading a 2-1-2 over-under record.

Analysis

For the season, Detroit averages 112.3 points per game, which is 25th in the league. This below-average production has come despite being one of the faster paced teams in the NBA (12th). When looking at the team’s 3-point shooting numbers, they profile as an average team in both percentage and attempts. For the season, the Pistons’ offense is ranked 14th in 3-point attempts per game while connecting at a rate of 35.3%. The defense has been mediocre for Detroit, as they are currently allowing 112.55 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.41% of their looks from the outside.

Bojan Bogdanovic is the top scorer for the Pistons, averaging 21.7 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 48.7%. Jaden Ivey is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 15.2 points per game.

For the season, Boston has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 117.7 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 99.4 possessions per contest. Boston’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 7th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.6%. Defensively, the Celtics have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.48 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.86%.

Boston will be dealing with some key injuries for today’s game. When looking at the injury report, the team’s second-leading scorer, Jaylen Brown is already out. So far, he is averaging 26.5 for the team. In addition, Jayson Tatum is questionable. This season, he leads the team in scoring at 30.5 points per contest.

More Picks: Get our Utah at Memphis betting prediction for their 2/15/23 game >>>

Betting Trends

• The Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Pistons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Wednesday games.
• The Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
• The Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last four after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Everybody knows the Pistons want to tank for the top pick in the 2023 NBA draft. However, they’re not getting smoked lately. Boston is banged up and coming off an emotional overtime loss last night against the Bucks. I do not expect them to be “up” for this game. I like the Pistons to cover the spread!