Phoenix Suns vs. Orlando Magic Free Pick for Jan 28th

Phoenix Suns (26-19 SU, 16-28 ATS) vs. Orlando Magic (23-22 SU, 28-17 ATS)

When: Sunday, January 28th, 6:00 PM (ET)

Where: Kia Center, FL, Orlando

TV: BSF

Point Spread: Pho -2/Orl +2

Total: 227.5

Money Line: Phoenix Suns -130/+107

Notable Injuries

Suns

• Bradley Beal (Questionable) Nose
• Jusuf Nurkic (Questionable) Thumb
• Damion Lee (Out) Knee
• Bol Bol (Out) Foot

Magic

• Gary Harris (Out) Calf

In a non-conference matchup, the Orlando Magic (23-22) will host the Phoenix Suns (26-19) at the Kia Center. The Suns are favored by 2 points and have a moneyline of -130, while the Magic are currently on a two-game losing streak and have a moneyline of +107. The over/under line for this game is set at 227.5 points.

Tip-off is scheduled for 6:00 ET and the game will be televised on BSF.

Recent Form

Phoenix is favored by 2 points today against the Magic. This season, the Suns have been favored in 33 of their 45 games and have a record of 22-11 in those games. As the favorite, they are 11-21 against the spread and have an average scoring margin of +5.1 points per game.

The Suns are 26-19 on the season, which is good for 6th place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 17-14 compared to 9-5 in non-conference games.

In their last game against the Pacers, the Suns lost by a score of 133-131. The O/U line for that game was 243.5, and Phoenix was favored by 5 points. The loss dropped their ATS record to 16-28 for the season.

On average, the Suns’ games have finished with a combined scoring total of 231.2 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 227.5. This season, Phoenix has a record of 23-22 on the over/under.

In the Western Conference, the Suns are currently in 3rd place in the Pacific Division. They have a road record of 12-8 this season, and their ATS record on the road is 9-11.

Orlando’s O/U record for the season is now 21-24 after their last two games have gone over the line. This year, their games have averaged 222.4 points per game compared to today’s O/U line of 227.5.

In their last game, the Magic were favored by 6.5 points against the Grizzlies but lost the game by a score of 107-106. This dropped their ATS record to 28-17 for the season.

The Magic are currently 8th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 23-22. In the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, Orlando is 17-13 and 6-9 in non-conference games.

On average, the Magic have a scoring differential of +5.2 points per game at home. Their ATS record at home is 14-7, and they are 14-7 straight-up at home. As the underdog, they are 13-19 this season.

Orlando is looking to snap a two-game losing streak after falling to Memphis by a score of 107-106. The Magic are 2-point underdogs today and are 19-13 vs. the spread as the underdog.

The Historicals

When looking at how these teams have performed vs the spread in recent matchups, the Magic have an ATS mark of 4-1. Yet, the Suns have averaged more points per game in these contests, at 111 compared to Orlando at 111. Over the course of these games, they averaged 218 points per game, leading a 2-3 over-under record.

Analysis

Heading into their matchup with the Magic, the Suns are 12th in the NBA in scoring at 116.8 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 116.6 points per game.

So far this season, the Suns have outscored the NBA scoring average in 53.3% of their games. They are 12th in two-point field goal percentage at 55% and have made 37% of their three-point attempts, which is 9th in the NBA.

When it comes to pace, the Suns are 23rd in the league at 97.9 possessions per game. In terms of free-throw shooting, they are 4th in attempts and 3rd in makes at 20.7 per game.

On defense, Suns is currently around the league average in points allowed, giving up an average of 114.5 points per game. For the season, Phoenix is ranked 23rd in fewest fouls per game. The team’s averaging 22.0 free throws per game vs. the Suns and have an overall field goal percentage of 47.0%.

At home, the Magic are 21st in the NBA in scoring at 114.0 points per game. Overall, they are 25th in the league at 111.3 points per contest. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 35.6% of their games.

From beyond the arc, the Magic are last in the NBA in three-point shooting at just 34%. They are also last in three-point makes per game at 10.7. However, they are 5th in the league in free throws made per game.

Overall, the Magic are 21st in field goal percentage at 46%. In terms of pace, they are 20th in the league at 98.3 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 27th in the NBA.

The Magic’s defense is presently ranked 6th in the league, allowing an average of 111.1 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Magic defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.5% and 35.7% from three-point territory.

Betting Trends

• The Suns are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
• Through their last ten home games, Orlando has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 111 points per game.
• Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Magic have a straight-up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
• Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Suns struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight-up mark of 2-1.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Even if Bradley Beal is limited or unable to play, I see taking the Suns to pick up the win and cover as the best bet of the day. I’m taking Phoenix at -2.