Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

Phoenix Suns (31-21 SU, 21-30 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (24-25 SU, 25-23 ATS)

When: Saturday, February 10th, 8:30 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: ABC

Point Spread: Pho -1.5/GS +1.5

Total: 239.5

Money Line: Phoenix Suns -126/+104

Notable Injuries

Suns

• Bradley Beal (Probable) Ankle
• Damion Lee (Out) Knee

Warriors

• Chris Paul (Out) Hand

At 8:30 ET, the Suns (-126) will take on the Warriors (+104) in a Western Pacific Division matchup. Phoenix (31-21) is currently on a three-game win streak and sits fifth in the Western Conference. Golden State (24-25) is also on a three-game win streak, but they are 11th in the West.

The over/under line for this game is 239.5, and the Suns are favored by 1.5. This game will be played at Chase Center in San Francisco and can be seen on ABC.

Recent Form

In their last three games, the Suns have covered the spread and have an ATS record of 21-30 for the season. Today, they are favored by 1.5 points and have an ATS record of 15-23 as the favorite.

Phoenix has won three straight games and is currently 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 31-21. Against the Western Conference, they are 18-14 and 5-7 against other teams in the Pacific Division.

As the favorite, the Suns have a record of 26-13 and have won three straight games as the favorite. On the road, their ATS record is 12-13 compared to 9-17 ATS at home.

The O/U record for the Suns this season is 26-26, and their games have averaged 231.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 239.5, and their games have averaged 232 points per game.

Phoenix’s last game was a 129-115 win over the Jazz. They were favored by 5.5 points in that game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 239 points.

In their last three games, the Warriors have won straight up and against the spread. They were 6.5-point underdogs in their last game against the Pacers and won by a score of 131-109.

Golden State’s ATS record for the season is 25-23, and they are 15-8 ATS on the road compared to 10-15 ATS at home. As underdogs, they have an ATS record of 13-6 and have covered the spread in their last three games.

As the underdog this season, the Warriors are 5-15 and have gone 12-17 vs. the spread as the home team. Today, they are 1.5-point underdogs at home.

The Warriors have a 24-25 overall record and are 11th in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 12-19 and 3-8 in the Pacific Division. The team’s current win streak is at three games.

Golden State’s O/U record for the season is 27-21-1, and their last three games have gone under the posted totals. This year, their games have averaged 237.1 points per game, while today’s line is set at 239.5.

Golden State’s last game was a 131-109 win over the Pacers. The O/U line for that game was 248.5 points.

The Historicals

Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Suns have an average scoring margin of +3 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 4-1. In these contests, they averaged a combined 231 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.

Analysis

Phoenix has been one of the top offenses in the league this season, ranking 12th in scoring at 117.5 points per game. They have been especially good on the road, averaging 117.8 points per game away from home.

The Suns are one of the most efficient shooting teams in the NBA, ranking 3rd in both field goal percentage and true shooting percentage. They are also 5th in two-point shooting at 56%.

Phoenix has been aggressive at getting to the free-throw line, ranking 5th in both attempts and makes. They have also been solid in terms of three-point shooting, hitting 38% of their attempts (6th).

On defense, the Suns come into the game ranked 15th in the league in points allowed at 114.4 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 111 points per contest (28th). The Suns’ defense is coming off a game in which they held the Jazz offense to just 59.1% shooting. Overall, they gave up 115 points to Utah.

Golden State comes into the game as the 6th highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 119.2 points per game. Surprisingly, they have actually scored more on the road (120.1) compared to at home (118.3). So far this season, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 61.2% of their games.

When it comes to pace, the Warriors are 9th in the league with an average of 100 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 17th in the NBA at 47%. However, their effective field goal percentage is 11th best in the league.

Golden State has been one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA this season, ranking 4th in both three-pointers made (14.8) and attempted (39.4) per game. From beyond the arc, they are shooting 37%, which is 9th in the league.

So far, the Warriors defense is giving up 117.9 points per contest, which has them sitting 21st in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in two straight matchups. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Warriors squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.6% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.9% from downtown.

Betting Trends

• In their last five road games, Phoenix has averaged 122 points per game while allowing 115 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
• When looking at their past five home matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 124 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
• Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Warriors have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-1.
• As the betting favorite, the Suns have an ATS mark of just 5-4-1 in their last ten games. Phoenix posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

After falling to the Hawks last Saturday, the Warriors rattled off three straight wins on the road and now find themselves back at home. Steph Curry is coming off a 42-point performance vs. the Pacers and has the Warriors looking like they might start to make a push in the Western Conference standings. For this matchup, I like the Warriors to pick up the win and am taking them on the money line. Bet today’s NBA picks and tomorrow’s Super Bowl predictions for FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 when you use bonus code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook! They offer big re-load bonuses too!