Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors: Betting Preview, Pick and Odds for October 24th

Phoenix Suns (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)

When: Tuesday, October 24th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: TNT

Betting Odds:

Point Spread: Pho +1 / GS -1

Total: 235

Money Line: Phoenix Suns -104 / Golden State Warriors -117

Notable Injuries

Suns

• Bradley Beal (Questionable) Back
• Devin Booker (Questionable) Toe
• Damion Lee (Out) Knee

Warriors

• Draymond Green (Out) Ankle

Recent Form

Phoenix’s season finished with a home record of 28-13 during the 2022-2023 NBA season. They obtained a conference rank of 4th and an overall record of 45-37. Additionally, their road record stood at 17-24.

In the 2022-2023 season, the Phoenix Suns recorded a 41-38-3 record against the over-under. They were involved in 21 games that surpassed 235 points, maintaining an average combined scoring of 225.2 in all their matches.

A season ago, the Phoenix Suns had a road record against the spread of 17-24 during the 2022-2023 NBA season. Their overall record against the spread was 44-38. They were favored in 52 games and considered the underdog in 30 games.

The Warriors finished the 2022-2023 season with a division rank of 4th and a conference rank of 6th. Their overall record stood at 44-38, with a home record of 33-8.

A season ago, the Golden State Warriors had a record of 45-35-2 against the over-under in the 2022-2023 season. Moreover, they were involved in 41 games where the total points surpassed 235, leading to an average combined scoring of 236.1 in their matches.

Golden State is coming off a season where they achieved an overall record against the spread of 44-38 during the 2022-2023 season. Out of their 82 games, they were favored in 58 and had a road record against the spread of 11-30. Furthermore, they were the underdog in 24 games and had an against the spread record of 7-17 when in that position.

The Historicals

In terms of betting, Phoenix has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Golden State. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +9 points per game in favor of the Suns. Phoenix and Golden State averaged a combined 233 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.

Analysis

Last year, the Phoenix offense had a field goal percentage of 46.7%, ranking 23rd in the NBA. They also secured an average of 11.8 offensive rebounds per game, placing them 5th in the league. In terms of scoring, the Suns averaged 113.6 points per game, ranking 17th in the NBA. Furthermore, they excelled in assists with 27.3 per game, ranking 4th in the league.

Last season, the Suns’ defense ranked 12th in the NBA as they permitted opponents to shoot 35.5% from three-point range. They also ranked 27th in the league by allowing 25.6 free throw attempts per game. Furthermore, Phoenix ranked 6th in the NBA as they allowed 111.6 points per game.

Golden State’s offense finished last season by ranking 14th in the NBA with an average of 10.5 offensive rebounds per game. Additionally, they ranked 2nd in the league with a scoring average of 118.9 points per game. However, when it came to free throws attempted per game, the Warriors ranked 30th in the NBA with an average of 20.2 attempts.

Golden State’s defense is coming off a season where they ranked 24th in free throw attempts allowed per game, 10th in field goal percentage allowed, and 21st in points allowed per game.

Betting Trends

• Across their three previous road games, Phoenix has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 0-3 while averaging 98 points per game.
• Although Golden State has a straight-up record of 0-3 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 0-3. The team averaged 99 points per game in these games.
• As the betting underdog, the Suns have an ATS mark of just 1-9 in their last ten games. Phoenix posted a straight-up mark of 0-10 in these matchups.
• As the betting favorite, the Warriors have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Golden State posted a straight-up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Just like the point-spread, we have this being tight throughout, with our projections sitting at 111-109 in favor of the Suns. If you’re looking for a point-spread pick, we like the Suns. As for an over/under bet, I’d take the under at 235.