Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Clippers Game 6 Pick

When: 9 pm ET Wednesday, June 30

Where: Staples Center

TV: ESPN

NBA point spread: Phx +1/LAC -1

Total: 215

The Los Angeles Clippers staved off elimination with a victory Monday night and now try to get this series back to even when the teams meet for Game 6 of this best-of-seven Western Conference finals Wednesday night in Los Angeles. The Clippers continue to play without Kawhi Leonard, although they didn’t seem to need him while outplaying Phoenix Monday night. Can LA do it again Wednesday? Can the Suns finish the Clippers off? Here’s how we homeworked this Game 6 with our free NBA pick against the spread.

NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

The NBA playoffs betting market opened this Game 6 as a pick ’em, with an over/under of right around 215. Early betting action then slipped Los Angeles into a one-point favorite at MyBookie.

Suns-Clippers NBA Playoffs Betting Preview

Phoenix leads this series three games to two, following LA’s 116-102 Game 5 victory Monday night. The Clippers jumped out to a 20-5 lead on the Suns and took a 59-52 advantage into halftime. Los Angeles then fell behind 62-61 early in the third quarter but immediately responded with a 10-0 run and held on from there for the outright win as a 6.5-point underdog.

Also, Game 5 played over a post-time total of 213.5.

On the night, the Clippers shot a hot 55 percent from the field, held the Suns to 45 percent FG shooting, out-scored Phoenix in the paint 58-32, and won the turnover battle 14-10.

So through the first five games of this series, the Suns are shooting 45 percent from the floor, LA 42 percent. Also, Phoenix has won the battle on the boards three times in five games.

With Monday’s win/cover, Los Angeles is now 10-8 SU, 11-7 ATS this postseason.

With Monday’s loss, Phoenix is now 11-4 SU, 10-5 ATS this postseason.

On the injury front, the Clippers are already playing without F Kawhi Leonard, who’s still dealing with that torn knee, and now center Ivica Zubac, who averaged 13 points and 11 boards through the first four games of this series, missed Game 5 and is listed as questionable for Game 6 with a sprained knee.

And yet LA is 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS since losing Leonard.

Phoenix finished four games ahead of the Clippers in the regular-season standings, 51-21 to 47-25, but LA took the season series from the Suns two games to one. So on the season, these two teams have split eight meetings SU, with LA going 5-3 ATS.

Suns-Clippers NBA Betting Trends

• The Suns are 5-2, both SU and ATS on the road this postseason.
• The Clippers are 5-4, both SU and ATS at home this postseason.
• Home teams are 42-33 SU, 37-37 ATS this NBA postseason.
• Favorites are 46-29 SU, 41-33 ATS this NBA postseason.

Totals Report

Unders are 7-4 in Suns games this postseason.

Overs are 8-7 in Clippers games this postseason.

Unders are 37-36 this NBA postseason.

Unders are 3-2 in this series, as the games are averaging 204 total points against an average over/under of 219.

Free NBA Playoffs Pick

Los Angeles led by 15 points right off the bat Monday night and finished shooting 55 percent from the floor. We do not expect either of those things to happen again Wednesday. We just see Phoenix as the better team here, especially with Leonard out for the Clippers. And playing on the road means the spread is a little friendlier than if this game were being played elsewhere. So we’re taking the Suns here for our free NBA playoffs pick for Wednesday. Bet your NBA picks FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use promo/bonus code PREDICT100 to get the extra funds credited to your betting account).