Phoenix Suns at Denver Nuggets Game 4 Pick
Phoenix Suns (51-21 SU, 42-28 ATS) at Denver Nuggets (47-25, 34-38), 6/13/21
When: 8 pm ET Sunday, June 13
Where: Ball Arena
TV: TNT
Point spread: Phx -3/Den +3
Total: 222
The Phoenix Suns are one win away from their first Western Conference finals appearance since 2010 and can make that happen with a win over the Nuggets in Game 4 Sunday night in Denver. Phoenix won the first two games of this series at home, then grabbed a 3-0 series lead with a third-straight double-digit victory Friday night. Can the Suns close out the Nuggets? Can Denver stave off elimination? Here’s our homework for this Game 4 and our free NBA playoffs pick.
NBA Playoffs Betting Odds
The NBA playoffs betting market opened Phoenix as a two-point road favorite for this Game 4, with an over/under of right around 221.5. Early betting action then bumped the Suns to -3 and the total to 222.
Anyone thinking Denver might win this game outright could find a price of +140 on the Game 4 money line at Bovada Sportsbook.
Suns-Nuggets NBA Playoffs Betting Preview
Phoenix leads this series three games to none after winning Game 3 Friday night 116-102. The Suns popped out to a 21-8 lead on Denver but only led 59-55 at the half. Phoenix then used an 11-3 run out of the locker room to create some room and later led by 20 on its way toward the outright victory as a two-point underdog.
The Suns shot 53 percent from the floor Friday while holding the Nuggets to just 41 percent shooting.
Phoenix took the opener of this series Monday 122-105, covering at -6, then took Game 2 Wednesday 123-98, again covering at -6.
The Suns began this series as -200 favorites to win it; now, up 3-0, this series is off the board.
With Friday’s win/cover, Phoenix is 7-2 both SU and ATS this playoff season.
With Friday’s loss, Denver is 4-5 both SU and ATS this postseason.
Phoenix finished four games ahead of the Nuggets in the regular-season standings, 51-21 to 47-25, but Denver took the season series from the Suns two games to one. So Phoenix is 4-2 both SU and ATS against the Nuggets this season.
Denver continues to play without G Jamal Murray (21 PPG this season). The Nuggets initially had success without him, but that might be coming to an end. Overall, Denver is now 17-10 SU but only 12-15 ATS since losing Murray back in April.
Suns-Nuggets NBA Betting Trends
The Suns played 24-12 SU, 19-15 ATS on the road this season.
The Nuggets played 25-11 SU, 16-20 ATS at home this season.
The Suns played 26-11 SU, 24-12 ATS vs. teams that made the playoffs this season.
The Nuggets played 20-17 SU, 15-22 ATS against teams that made the playoffs this season.
The visiting team is 4-2, both SU and ATS in Suns-Nuggets games this season.
Totals Report
Overs played 42-30 in Suns games this season, which averaged 225 points.
Overs played 39-33 in Nuggets games this season, which averaged 225 total points.
Unders are 2-1 in this series, as the games are averaging 222 total points against an average O/U of 223.
Free Phoenix at Denver Picke
Phoenix is rolling while Denver is missing a key ingredient. And the Suns are just flat outplaying the Nuggets in this series, leading by double-digits most of the time. Yea, there’s a chance Denver might salvage one win here, but this series is over. The smart money here gives the short spread with Phoenix. Bet today’s NBA picks FREE by scoring a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use bonus code PREDICT100 to receive the extra bonus loot!)
