Pelicans vs. Kings Betting Preview & Pick for April 11

New Orleans Pelicans (47-32 SU, 41-37 ATS) vs. Sacramento Kings (45-34 SU, 40-39 ATS)

When: Thursday, April 11th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Golden 1 Center, CA, Sacramento

TV: TNT

Point Spread: NO +1/Sac -1

Total: 218.5

Money Line: New Orleans Pelicans -107/-114

Notable Injuries

Pelicans

• Brandon Ingram (Out) Knee
• Naji Marshall (Questionable) Shoulder

Kings

• Malik Monk (Out) Knee
• Kevin Huerter (Out) Shoulder
• Jordan Ford (Questionable) Hip
• Keegan Murray (Questionable) Calf

At 10:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (-114) will host the New Orleans Pelicans (-107) in a Western Conference matchup. The Kings are currently favored by 1 point and the over/under line is set at 218.5.

This game will be played at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento and can be seen on TNT. The Pelicans are currently 6th in the Western Conference with a record of 47-32, while the Kings are 8th at 45-34. New Orleans has won two straight games.

Recent Form

In games where the Pelicans have been the underdog this season, their ATS record is 18-12. Today, they are 1-point underdogs on the road. Overall, their ATS record on the road is 21-18.

New Orleans has won their last two games and are currently 6th in the Western Conference with a record of 47-32. In the Southwest Division, they are in 2nd place.

The Pelicans’ ATS record on the road is 21-18, and they have covered the spread in their last four road games. On the season, they have an average scoring differential of +5.2 points per game on the road.

In their most recent game, the Pelicans defeated the Trail Blazers by a score of 110-100. The O/U line for that game was 214 points, and New Orleans was favored by 14.5 points.

For the season, the Pelicans have an O/U record of 34-45. In their last two games, the under has hit, and today’s O/U line is set at 218.5 points. On average, the Pelicans’ games have finished with 225.3 points.

Today, the Kings will look to extend their home winning streak to three games. They are favored by 1 point against the Pelicans and have gone 16-22 ATS at home this season.

In their last three games, the Kings have covered the spread as the favorite. They are 25-28 ATS as the favorite this season and have a straight-up record of 34-19 as the favorite.

Sacramento’s O/U record for the season is 36-42-1, and their games have averaged 231.6 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 218.5, and the team has gone under the total in their last three games.

Sacramento’s most recent game was a 112-105 loss to the Thunder. They were 5.5-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 227.5.

Overall, the Kings are 45-34 this season, which puts them in 8th place in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 29-20 and 10-6 against Pacific Division opponents.

The Historicals

The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 4-1 in favor of the Pelicans. In these matchups, New Orleans has averaged 121 points per game, while allowing 108. A combined average of 229 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

Analysis

On the season, the Pelicans are averaging 114.9 points per game, which is 13th in the NBA. When playing on the road, they are scoring 114.8 points per game.

So far this season, the Pelicans have outscored the NBA scoring average in 46.8% of their games. In terms of pace, New Orleans is 18th in the league at 97.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Pelicans are 10th in field goal percentage at 48%. From beyond the arc, they are hitting 37% of their threes, which is 10th in the NBA.

Coming into the game, the Pelicans defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 34.2% of their games. Currently, they are 8th in the NBA at 110.4 points per game allowed. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Pelicans are forcing 12.4 per game, which is 14th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 22nd in blocked shots at 4.7 per game.

At home, the Kings are averaging 118.7 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 9th in scoring at 116.5 points per game. Sacramento is 14th in pace at 99.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Kings are 4th in made threes at 14.4 per game. However, they are just 16th in three-point shooting percentage at 36%. In terms of overall field goal percentage, Sacramento is 15th in the league.

So far this season, the Kings have outscored the NBA scoring average in 57% of their games. In terms of free throw shooting, they are 27th in made free throws at 15.5 per game.

So far, the Kings’ defense is ranked 17th in the league at 115.1 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 53.8% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 38.7% of their three-point attempts.

Betting Trends

• In their last ten games away from home, the Pelicans have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 5-4-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 113 points per game in this stretch.
• When looking at their past five home matchups, Sacramento has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 106 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
• In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Pelicans have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
• The Kings have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

After the Suns won last night, the Pelicans need this one bad, or else they will fall into a tie with the Suns for the 7th seed and potentially have to start their playoff run in the play-in tournament. On the other side, the Kings know they will at least be in the play in tournament, but would love to hold on to the 8th seed. Look for the Kings to take advantage of playing at home in this one as they pick up the win and cover the spread as -1 point favorites.