Pacers vs. Cavaliers Betting Preview: Trends, Odds & Joe’s Pick for April 10th

Cleveland Cavaliers (63-16 SU, 46-32 ATS) vs. Indiana Pacers (48-31 SU, 36-41 ATS)

When: Thursday, April 10th, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, IN, Indianapolis

TV: TNT

Point Spread: Cle +9.5/Ind -9.5

Total: 232

Money Line: Cleveland Cavaliers +320/-408

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Notable Injuries

Cavaliers

• Donovan Mitchell (Out) Ankle
• Darius Garland (Out) Toe
• Max Strus (Out) Knee
• Evan Mobley (Out) Rest

Pacers

• Isaiah Jackson (Out) Achilles
• Ben Sheppard (Questionable) Toe

At 7:00 ET, the Indiana Pacers will host the Cleveland Cavaliers in a divisional matchup at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Pacers are currently favored by 9.5 points and have won five straight games. On the moneyline, Indiana is -408 and Cleveland is +320.

This game will be televised on TNT and the over/under line is set at 232.

Recent Form

The Cavaliers improved to 63-16 with a 135-113 win over the Bulls on Tuesday. Cleveland, who were -14.5 point favorites, covered the spread with a +22 point victory. The total points for the game were 248, surpassing the O/U line of 240.

After a 10-0 run early in the game, Cleveland took control by outscoring Chicago 43-24 in the 2nd quarter. The Bulls fought back in the 3rd, winning it 37-30, but the Cavaliers closed out the game strong, outscoring them 37-28 in the 4th.

The Pacers improved to 48-31 after a 104-98 win over the Wizards on Tuesday. Indiana, who were -19 point favorites, didn’t cover the spread, and the total score of 202 points fell well short of the 236-point O/U line.

Washington went on an 11-0 run early, but Indiana responded by holding them to 13 points in the 2nd quarter. The Pacers entered the 4th quarter down 73-72 but outscored the Wizards 32-25 in the final period to secure the win.

The Historicals

When looking at how these teams have performed against the spread in recent matchups, the Cavaliers hold the edge at 3-2. However, the average scoring margin in these matchups has been tight, sitting at just 1 point per game. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 3-2. Combined, they averaged 227 points in these games.

Analysis

The Cavaliers put on an offensive show in their win over the Bulls, scoring 135 points while shooting 51% from the field. They connected on 25 three-pointers at a 50% clip, with Darius Garland hitting six threes and finishing with a team-high 28 points, including 14 in the 2nd quarter.

Evan Mobley added 21 points and 12 rebounds, knocking down three threes, as did Ty Jerome, who contributed 18 points on 75% shooting from deep. De’Andre Hunter chipped in 17 points, with five coming in the 4th quarter.

Defensively, the Cavaliers were solid in the 1st and 2nd quarters, giving up 24 points in each, but they struggled in the 3rd, allowing 37 points. They tightened up in the 4th, giving up 28 points to secure the win over the Bulls.

Cleveland held Chicago to 47% shooting from the field and 34% from beyond the arc, with the Bulls hitting 15 threes. The Cavaliers sent the Bulls to the line 19 times, where they made 16 free throws. Cleveland also recorded 13 steals and three blocks.

Despite shooting just 37.9% from the field and 25.7% from three-point range, the Pacers managed to score 104 points in their win over the Wizards. They hit only nine threes in the game.

Pascal Siakam led the way with 24 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 57.9%. Tyrese Haliburton added 22 points, including 10 in the 4th quarter, and made three threes at 42.9%.

Despite a rough start, the Pacers’ defense clamped down after the 1st quarter, where they allowed 35 points, giving up just 13 in the 2nd. They maintained their focus in the 3rd and 4th quarters, allowing 25 points in each, to hold the Wizards to 98 points in the game.

Indiana held Washington to 41% shooting, including just 28% from three-point range, where the Wizards made 11 threes. The Pacers also sent Washington to the line 15 times, where they made 11 free throws. Defensively, Indiana recorded seven steals and five blocks.

Betting Trends

• In their last ten games away from home, the Cavaliers have a straight-up record of 6-4 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 119 points per game in this stretch.
• Across their last five home contests, Indiana has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2 while averaging 129 points per game.
• As the betting underdog, the Cavaliers have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups, their straight-up record was 3-2.
• In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Pacers have a straight-up record of 10-0 and an ATS mark of 2-7-1.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

With Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland out, the Pacers are the heavy favorite at home, coming in as -9.5-point favorites. And with the Pacers needing to finish out the season strong to maintain their current seeding, I see them coming out firing. I like Indiana to win and cover.