Orlando Magic vs. Miami Heat Pick & Predicitons – Jan 12

Orlando Magic (21-16 SU, 25-12 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (21-16 SU, 17-19 ATS)

When: Friday, January 12th, 8:00 PM (ET)

Where: Kaseya Center, FL, Miami

TV: BSSU

Point Spread: Orl +3.5/Mia -3.5 (Be smart! Learn about reduced juice sports betting!)

Total: 219

Money Line: Orlando Magic +135/-163

Notable Injuries

Magic

• Gary Harris (Out) Calf
• Jonathan Isaac (Out) Hamstring
• Wendell Carter Jr. (Questionable) Knee
• Franz Wagner (Out) Ankle

Heat

• Kyle Lowry (Doubtful) Hand
• Jimmy Butler (Doubtful) Toe
• Tyler Herro (Questionable) Shoulder
• Caleb Martin (Questionable) Ankle
• Dru Smith (Out) Knee

At 8:00 ET, the Miami Heat (21-16) will host the Orlando Magic (21-16) in an Eastern Southeast Division matchup. The Heat are currently favored by 3.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 219. The Magic are 8th in the Eastern Conference, while the Heat are 7th.

This game will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami. BSSU will have the TV coverage.

Recent Form

Orlando is 21-16 this season and is currently the 8th seed in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 6-7 compared to 15-9 against other teams in the East.

As the underdog, Orlando has a record of 11-14 and is 16-9 ATS. On the road, they are 12-7 ATS and have covered the spread in their last two away games.

On the road, Orlando is 8-11 straight up and has an average scoring differential of -4.5 points per game. At home, they are 13-5 and have an average scoring differential of +7.4 points per game.

For the season, Orlando has been the underdog in 25 of their 37 games. Today, they are 3.5-point underdogs and have an O/U record of 18-19. The under has hit in their last two games.

In their last game, Orlando lost to Minnesota by a score of 113-92. They were also on the wrong side of the spread, losing by 21 points as 5-point underdogs. The game’s combined point total was 205, which was below the O/U line of 217.

This season, the Heat have been favored in all but 2 of their games. Overall, they have a record of 15-5 in those games, but they are just 6-11 straight-up as the underdog. Against the spread, they are 9-10 as the favorite and 8-9 as the underdog.

Miami is 21-16 this season, which has them in 7th place in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 6-6 compared to 15-10 against other teams in the East. In the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place.

At home, the Heat are 10-7 this season and 6-11 ATS. When playing at home, they have an average scoring differential of +.2 points per game. As the favorite, their average scoring differential is +2.9 PPG.

Miami’s O/U record for the season is 18-19, and the over has hit in their last two games. This year, their games have averaged 224.9 points per game, and their average O/U line is 222.7.

In their most recent game, the Heat lost to the Thunder (128-120). They were 4.5-point underdogs going into the game, and the combined score of 248 points resulted in an over.

The Historicals

The ATS record across the previous five head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Heat. In these matchups, Miami has averaged 113 points per game while allowing 110. Orlando and Miami averaged a combined 223 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Analysis

So far, the Magic have been a below-average offensive team this season, ranking just 20th in points per game at 113.3. Interestingly, they have actually been better on the road, averaging 111.1 points compared to 115.7 at home.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Magic are just 27th in the league in both three-point percentage (34%) and three-pointers made per game (10.9). In terms of pace, Orlando is 12th in the NBA at 99.8 possessions per game.

Overall, the Magic have been an average shooting team, ranking 18th in field goal percentage (46%). However, they have been very good at getting to the free-throw line, ranking 2nd in free-throw attempts per game.

Coming into today’s game, the Magic’s defense is giving up an average of 112.0 points per contest. The Orlando defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.8% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.6% of their field goal attempts vs. Orlando.

At home this season, the Heat are averaging 117.1 points per game, which is 12th in the NBA. Overall, they are 23rd in scoring at 112.9 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 28th in the league.

So far, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in 43.2% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 19th in the league at 46%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Miami is 3rd in the league in three-point shooting percentage at 38%. They are making an average of 12.9 threes per game, which is 14th in the NBA.

Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 10th rank in the NBA, allowing 112.1 points per game. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 56.3% and 36.8% from three-point territory.

Betting Trends

• Across their last five road contests, Orlando has a 4-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3 while averaging 121 points per game.
• Across the Heat’s last ten home games, the team averaged 107 points per game while allowing 108. Their record vs. the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 5-5 straight up.
• Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Magic have a straight-up record of 2-3. Their record vs. the spread in these games was 3-2.
• Miami has done well both straight up and vs. the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Both teams come into this one with a 21-16 record as they try to jockey for the 7th seed in the Eastern Conference. With lengthy injury lists on both sides, I’m actually taking the Magic to cover as +3.5 point underdogs. Question: Did you know that you could be laying -105 odds instead of the more expensive -110 option your bookie is sapping you with? Don’t overpay for odds when you don’t have to! Make the switch to a BETTER sportsbook: BetAnySports! We’ve advertised them for over 10 years with ZERO complaints!