Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors: November 16th Picks, Spread & Total Analysis

by | Last updated Nov 16, 2023 | nba

Oklahoma City Thunder (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (6-6 SU, 5-6 ATS)

When: Thursday, November 16th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: OKC -3/GS +3

Total: 227.5

Money Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -148/G.S. +123

Notable Injuries

Thunder

    Warriors

    • Draymond Green (Out) Suspension
    • Stephen Curry (Out) Knee

    Recent Form

    Coming into today’s game vs. the Warriors, the Thunder are looking to build on their above .500 record of 7-4. The team is currently 5th in the Western Conference, and they are also 3rd in the Northwest division.

    Facing the Thunder, the Warriors currently hold an overall record of 6-6 and aim to end their four game losing streak. Throughout their 12 games, the Warriors have posted a 5-4 record against Western Conference opponents, while going 1-2 in non-conference matchups.

    The Historicals

    In terms of betting, Golden State has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Oklahoma City. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +7 points per game in favor of the Warriors. The over-under record in these same games is 5-0, with the teams combining for an average of 261 points per game.

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    Analysis

    In their latest game, the Thunder offense put up 123 points against the Spurs. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 51.7% and made 15 threes. In terms of offense, the Thunder have a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, putting them 3rd in the NBA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 4th in percentage and 17th in three-pointers made.

    Coming into today’s game, the Thunder’s defense is giving up an average of 111.6 points per contest.

    The Thunder defense is coming off a game in which they held the Spurs offense to just 51.7% shooting. Overall, they gave up 87 points to San Antonio.

    The Warriors’ offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 101 points versus the Timberwolves. During the game, they attempted 39 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 42%. Currently leading the team in scoring is Stephen Curry who comes into today’s matchup averaging 30.7. Klay Thompson also heads into the game with a PPG average of 14.6.

    Coming into the game, the Warriors’ defense has finished three straight games with an increased number of points allowed. Overall, they are 8th in the league at 110.8 points per game allowed.

    On two-point field goal attempts, the Warriors’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 52.9% and allowing 34.6% from beyond the arc.

    Betting Trends

    • Through their last ten road games, Oklahoma City has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 113 points per game.
    • When looking at their past three home matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 109 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
    • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Warriors have a strong record vs the spread going 3-1-1. Their straight-up mark in these contests is 2-3.
    • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Thunder have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 6-4.

    Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

    It’s rare that you will find the Warriors as the 3-point underdogs at home. However, without Stephen Curry and Draymond Green starting his suspension, the Thunder are the favorites on the road. Coming off a dominant performance vs. San Antonio, look for the Thunder to cover at -3. Bet your NBA picks for FREE this week by scoring a massive 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at BetUS Sportsbook when you enter bonus promo code PREDICTEM.