Nuggets vs Warriors Betting Odds & Picks

Denver Nuggets (48-35 SU, 37-46-0 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (54-29 SU, 42-37-4 ATS)
When: Monday April 18 2022, 10:00 PM (ET)
Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, California
TV: ALT

Point Spread: DEN +7/GSW -7 (Opened GSW -7.5 at BetNow)
Total: 224 (Opened at 223.5)
Money Line: Denver 235/Golden State -290
Power Rating: GSW -8

Probable Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets PG Monte Morris, SG Will Barton, SF Aaron Gordon, PF Jeff Green, C Nikola Jokic
Golden State Warriors PG Stephen Curry, SG Klay Thompson, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Draymond Green, C Kevon Looney

Key Injuries

Denver Nuggets Michael Porter Jr.: Back (OUT) Facundo Campazzo: Suspension (OUT) Jamal Murray: Knee (OUT)

Golden State Warriors James Wiseman: Knee (OUT)

The Golden State Warriors host the Denver Nuggets in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET at the Chase Center.

Recent Form

The Denver Nuggets come into this game with an overall record of 48-34, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. So far, Denver is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 25-17. Over the Nuggets’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. During this stretch, Denver is averaging 119.0 points per game, 6.0 points more than their season average of 112.7. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 112.0 points per contest. A key reason for Denver’s recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 122.0 points over their previous five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 110.6. In the Denver Nuggets’ most recent game, the team fell to Golden State by a score of 123-107.

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 at home, holding a record of 32-10. The Warriors have played well over their last five games, picking up 5 wins. During this stretch, Golden State is averaging 118.0 points per game, 7.0 points more than their season average of 111.1. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 113.0 points per contest. The Warriors come into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 102.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 105.5. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, Golden State took down Denver by a score of 123-107.

Individual Player Analysis

As Denver travels to take on the Golden State Warriors, the Nuggets’ leading scorer is Nikola Jokic. Through 75 games, Jokic is averaging 27 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 41.0% of his games. As Jokic gets set to take on the Warriors, he could be in line for a big game as Golden State is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 53.52% of their games. This figure places them 26th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Stephen Curry leads the Warriors in scoring, averaging 25 points across his 64 games. Throughout the season, Curry has outscored his season average in 45.0% of his outings. Given that Denver’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Stephen Curry should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Nuggets have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 51.61% of their games, giving them a rank of 21st among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Nuggets come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 111.3 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Denver is winning at a rate of 63%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 9.0 points. On the other side, the Warriors hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 41 games as the better defensive team, picking up 31 wins (76%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors have met up for 5 games. In their last meeting, Golden State picked up a 123-107 win.

How the Public is Betting the Nuggets vs Warriors

67% are betting the Warriors against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 224

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

• Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points.
• Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
• Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
• Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Golden State Warriors are looking to jump out to a commanding 2-0 lead as they picked up a 16-point win in game 1. In the opening matchup, Stephen Curry was able to ease his way back into action, as Jordan Poole carried the scoring load with 30 points. Golden State also has to feel good about their defensive heading into game 2, as aside from Nikola Jokic and Will Barton, the next highest scorers were Monte Morris and Nah’Shon Hyland with 10 points apiece. With the Warriors coming into the playoffs at full strength, their defense appears to have returned to form. Look for Golden State to once again pick up the win and cover the spread.