Nuggets vs. Suns Game 6 Betting Prediction

Denver Nuggets (53-29 SU, 50-41-1 ATS) vs. Phoenix Suns (45-37 SU, 47-43-2 ATS)

When: Thursday, May 11th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Footprint Center, AZ, Phoenix

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: Den +3/Pho -3 (Are you still betting at -110 odds? Stop wasting your hard earned cash! Start betting at -105 TODAY at BAS Sportsbook!)

Total: 226.5

Money Line: Denver Nuggets +127/-152

Notable Injuries

Nuggets

Suns

• Chris Paul (Out) Groin
• Deandre Ayton (Questionable) Rib

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Denver is 53-29 overall. When taking to the road, Denver has a mark of 19-22 and a win percentage of 46%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Western Conference. So far, they are 50-41-1 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 3-2 in their past 5 games and 3-2 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS.

The Nuggets came away with a win in their last matchup against the Suns, achieving a 118-102 victory as 6-point favorites. Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets with an impressive performance, scoring 29 points on a shooting percentage of 60.0%. In addition to the win, the Nuggets also covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Phoenix is 45-37 overall. When playing at home, Phoenix has a mark of 28-13 and a win percentage of 68%. Currently, the team is 4th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 47-43-2 vs. the spread. In Phoenix’s last 5 games, the Suns have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 6-4 and 4-6 ATS.

In their last game, Phoenix was defeated by Nuggets with a score of 118-102. Despite Devin Booker scoring 28 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Suns were 6-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Nuggets picked up the 118-102 win over the Suns. The Nuggets’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 6.5-point favorite. So far this season, the Nuggets have a record of 5-4 vs the Suns. The Nuggets have had the better record vs. the spread over the last 5 games, going 3-2. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 6 points per game. A combined average of 224 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Analysis

This season, the Nuggets’ offense is averaging 115.8 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Denver has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 97.9 possessions per game. Denver heads into the game as one of the top 3-point shooting teams in terms of percentage. So far, they have hit 37.9% of their looks from deep. However, they are currently ranked just 39th in 3-point attempts per contest. On defense, the Nuggets are allowing an average of 110.41 points per game, placing them 14th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.42% of their looks from deep.

Coming into today’s game, Nikola Jokic is the leading scorer for Denver at 24.5 points per game. This season, Jokic has a field goal percentage of 63.2%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Jamal Murray at 20.0 points per contest.

This season, the Suns’ offense is averaging 113.6 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Phoenix has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 98.0 possessions per game. Phoenix heads into the game as one of the top 3-point shooting teams in terms of percentage. So far, they have hit 37.4% of their looks from deep. However, they are currently ranked just 28th in 3-point attempts per contest. Defensively, the Suns have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.33 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.88%.

Devin Booker is the top scorer for the Suns, with an average of 27.8 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 49.4%. Kevin Durant is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 29.1 points per game.

Betting Trends

• The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
• The Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
• The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• The Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

CP3 is out and Ayton is questionable. I may have bet the Nuggets even with those two players at full health. I’m betting Denver at +3. Bankroll running low? Fix that problem by scoring a 100% real cash bonus (or more) from one of the many top tier bookies on our sportsbook bonuses list!