Nuggets vs. Pistons Betting Predictions 3/16/23

Denver Nuggets (46-23 SU, 36-32-1 ATS) vs. Detroit Pistons (16-54 SU, 31-38-1 ATS)
When: Thursday, March 16th, 7:00 PM (ET)
Where: Little Caesars Arena, MI, Detroit
TV: BSDE

Point Spread: Den -12.5/Det +12.5 (Cash in BIG with a 100% bonus!)
Total: 228.5
Money Line: Denver Nuggets -818/+561

Notable Injuries

Nuggets

• Jamal Murray (Probable) Injury Management
• Zeke Nnaji (Out) Shoulder
• Collin Gillespie (Out) Lower Leg

Pistons

• Bojan Bogdanovic (Out) Achilles
• Alec Burks (Out) Foot
• Hamidou Diallo (Out) Ankle
• Marvin Bagley III (Out) Ankle
• Isaiah Stewart (Out) Hip
• Cade Cunningham (Out) Shin
• Isaiah Livers (Out) Hip
• Jaden Ivey (Probable) Health Protocols

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Denver is 46-23 overall. When taking to the road, Denver has a mark of 16-17 and a win percentage of 48%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Western Conference. So far, they are 36-32-1 vs the spread. Denver travels to take on the Pistons, hoping to avoid their 5th straight loss.

In their most recent matchup, the Raptors defeated Denver with a score of 125-110. Nikola Jokic scored the most points for the team with 28, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Nuggets were 1 point ahead going into the game.

Heading into the game, Detroit is 16-54 overall. When playing at home, Detroit has a mark of 9-27 and a win percentage of 25%. Currently, the team is 15th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 31-38-1 vs the spread. In Detroit’s last 5 games, the Pistons have a straight-up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 1-9 and 4-6 ATS.

In their most recent matchup, the Wizards defeated Detroit with a score of 117-97. Killian Hayes scored the most points for the team with 20, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Pistons were 13 points ahead going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Pistons picked up the win 110-108 win over the Nuggets. Heading into the game, Detroit was the 11.5-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Although the Pistons have the better ATS mark across the previous 5 head-head matchups at 3-2, the average scoring margin sits in favor of Denver, as they averaged 114 points per game while allowing 107. In these contests, they averaged a combined 221 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

For the season, Denver has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 116.8 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 98.3 possessions per contest. Denver has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 2nd in 3-point shooting percentage at 38.7%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.3 attempts per contest. On defense, the Nuggets are allowing an average of 110.41 points per game, placing them 14th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.42% of their looks from deep.

Nikola Jokic is the top scorer for the Nuggets, with an average of 24.7 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 63.0%. Jamal Murray is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 20.0 points per game.

Coming into the game, Detroit’s offense is ranked just 28th in scoring at 111.2 points per game. This has come while being the 13th-ranked unit in pace. So far, the Pistons are averaging 99.7 possessions per contest. Detroit’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 35.1% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 32.7 3-point shots per game, placing them 16th in the NBA. Defense has been a struggle for Detroit, as they are currently allowing 112.55 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.41% of their looks from the outside.

A major injury to note for today’s game is that Detroit will not have Bojan Bogdanovic available, as is already listed as out on the injury report. Jaden Ivey will take on the role as the primary scorer for the team. This season, Ivey is averaging 15.4 points per game for the Pistons.

More Picks: Get our Sacramento at Brooklyn betting analysis for their 3/16/23 game

Betting Trends

• Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Denver Nuggets are starving for a win and the Detroit Pistons are the bullseye. I’m laying the points with the Nuggs and predicting a blowout. Bet your NBA predictions for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 when you use bonus promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!