Nuggets vs. Clippers Game 4 Odds & Prediction (LAC -6) | NBA Playoffs 4/26

Denver Nuggets (50-32 SU, 38-46 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (50-32 SU, 50-35 ATS)

When: Saturday, April 26th, 6:00 PM (ET)

Where: Intuit Dome, CA, Inglewood

TV: TNT

Point Spread: Den +6/LAC -6

Total: 212.5

Money Line: Denver Nuggets +200/-242

Notable Injuries

Nuggets

• Russell Westbrook (Questionable) Foot
• Michael Porter Jr. (Questionable) Shoulder
• DaRon Holmes II (Out) Achilles

Clippers

• No Injuries Reported

At 6:00 ET, the Los Angeles Clippers (-242) will host the Denver Nuggets (+200) in a Western Conference matchup. The Clippers are currently on a two-game winning streak and are favored by six points over the Nuggets, who have dropped two straight.

This game will be played at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood and can be seen on TNT. The over/under line for this game is currently set at 212.5 points.

Recent Form

The Nuggets fell to 50-32 on the season after a 117-83 road loss to the Clippers on Thursday. Denver, who entered the game as +5.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread, losing by 34 points. The total score of 200 points was well below the O/U line of 213.5.

A key moment came when the Clippers went on a 17-0 run, extending their lead from 28-26 to 43-28. Denver couldn’t recover, scoring just 19 points in the 2nd quarter and 13 in the 4th.

The Clippers improved to 50-32 on the season with a dominant 117-83 win over the Nuggets on Thursday. Playing at home, Los Angeles covered the -5.5 spread with ease, while the game’s total points of 200 fell short of the 213.5 O/U line.

A pivotal 17-0 run turned the game in the Clippers’ favor as they extended the score from 28-26 to 43-28. They outscored Denver 30-19 in the 2nd quarter and closed the game strong, holding the Nuggets to just 13 points in the 4th quarter while adding 27 of their own.

The Historicals

Through the last five matchups between the teams, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 3-2. But, looking at the scoring margin in these games, an average of just 2 points per game separates the teams. Throughout these games, they averaged 214 points per game, leading a 1-4 over-under record.

Analysis

In their 117-83 loss to the Clippers, the Nuggets struggled offensively, shooting just 40.3% from the field and 26.9% from three-point range, making only seven threes. Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray each scored 23 points, with Jokić adding 13 rebounds and 13 assists, shooting 64.3% from the floor and 66.7% from deep.

Aaron Gordon contributed 15 points, with 11 of those coming in the first quarter. Murray also added 8 points in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters, while Jokić scored 8 points in the 3rd.

Defensively, the Nuggets struggled early, giving up 35 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 2nd, leading to a 117-point performance by the Clippers. Denver allowed 27 points in the 4th quarter, but the damage was already done.

The Clippers shot 48% from the field, including 46% from three-point range, where they hit 18 threes. Denver sent the Clippers to the line 28 times, where they made 19 free throws. The Nuggets also allowed 15 offensive rebounds while recording four steals and three blocks.

The Clippers connected on 18 threes, shooting 46.2% from deep in their win over the Nuggets. Kawhi Leonard led the way with 21 points, adding 11 rebounds and six assists while hitting three threes at a 50% rate.

Norman Powell and James Harden each contributed 20 points, with Powell scoring 12 in the 3rd quarter. Harden added 13 points in the opening period.

The Clippers put on a defensive clinic against the Nuggets, holding them to just 83 points on Thursday. After giving up 28 points in the 1st quarter, they tightened up, allowing only 19 in the 2nd and 13 in the 4th.

Overall, the Clippers held the Nuggets to 40% shooting from the field, including just 7 made threes on 26% shooting. They also sent Denver to the line 20 times, where they hit 14 free throws. Defensively, the Clippers recorded four steals and eight blocks.

Betting Trends

• Denver has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 111 points per game while allowing 114. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
• When looking at their past ten home matchups, Los Angeles has an ATS record of 9-1 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 8-2 overall in these games.
• Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Nuggets have a record of 0-3. Their record vs. the spread in these games was 0-3.
• Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 10-0 straight up.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Things are not trending well for the Nuggets right now, as not only are they down 2-1, but they are banged up and +6 point underdogs tonight vs the Clippers. Game three was a blowout, but I think Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets have enough in the tank to keep this one close. I like Denver at +6.