New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors Pick ATS | March 18

New York Knicks (40-27 SU, 36-30 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (35-31 SU, 36-29 ATS)

When: Monday, March 18th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: NY +4.5/GS -4.5

Total: 212

Money Line: New York Knicks +150/-183

Notable Injuries

Knicks

• Julius Randle (Out) Shoulder
• OG Anunoby (Questionable) Injury Management
• Mitchell Robinson (Out) Ankle

Warriors

None

At 10:00 ET, the Knicks (40-27) will travel to San Francisco to take on the Warriors (35-31) at Chase Center. The Knicks are currently on a three-game winning streak and are 4th in the Eastern Conference, while the Warriors are 9th in the West.

Golden State is favored by 4.5 points and is -183 on the moneyline. The over/under line for the game is 212.

Recent Form

As the underdog, the Knicks have won their last two games and are 11-18 as the underdog this season. On the road, their underdog record is 13-16 compared to 23-14 ATS. On average, they have been outscored by 3.1 points per game as the underdog.

This season, the Knicks have an O/U record of 23-43-1, and the under has hit in their last five games. Today’s O/U line of 212 is lower than the average of 219.8 points per game in their games this season.

New York’s last game was a 98-91 win over the Kings. They were 3.5-point underdogs going into the game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 217.

Currently, the Knicks are 4th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 40-27. In the East, they are 27-15 compared to 13-12 against the West. In the Atlantic Division, they are in 2nd place.

This year, the Knicks are 18-14 on the road and have won four straight games on the road. On average, they are outscoring their opponents by 2.6 points per game on the road.

Golden State has a record of 35-31 this season and are currently 9th in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 18-23 and 6-9 against teams in the Pacific Division.

As the favorite, the Warriors have a record of 28-14 and are 21-21 ATS as the favorite. Today, they are favored by 4.5 points. In their games as the favorite, they have gone 36-29 ATS.

The Warriors’ O/U record for the season is 32-33-1, and their games have averaged 235.2 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 212, and all of their games this season have had higher O/U lines than that.

In their last game, the Warriors defeated the Lakers by a score of 128-121. They were 2-point underdogs going into the game and have now covered the spread in two straight home games. The O/U line for that game was 233.5.

The Historicals

Spanning across the last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Knicks and Warriors have been competitive, with an average margin of victory sitting at just 2 points per game. This has resulted in a 3-2 ATS record for Golden State. New York and Golden State averaged a combined 214 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

This season, the Knicks have been one of the top offensive rebounding teams in the league, ranking 2nd in offensive rebounds per game. However, they have struggled to move the ball, ranking 29th in assists. Heading into tonight’s game, the Knicks are averaging 111.9 points per game, which is 24th in the NBA.

When looking at the Knicks’ scoring, they have actually been better on the road, averaging 113.5 points per game compared to 110.5 at home. In terms of pace, New York is last in the league at 94.9 possessions per game.

So far this season, the Knicks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 40.3% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, New York is shooting 46% from the field, which is 25th in the league. From three-point range, the Knicks are 18th in the NBA at 36%.

This season, the Knicks’ defense is the 2nd ranked defense in the NBA at 2nd PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 68.7% of their games. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Knicks squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 53.7% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.3% from downtown.

At home this season, the Warriors are averaging 117.7 points per game (11th) compared to 119.1 on the road (2nd). Overall, they are 7th in the league at 118.4 points per game. In terms of pace, Golden State is 7th at 100.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Warriors are 2nd in the NBA at 14.8 made threes per game. They are also 7th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. In terms of two-point shooting, Golden State is 18th at 54%.

So far this season, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60.6% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 5th in the league at 29 per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, Golden State is 4th in the NBA.

So far, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 19th in the league at 116.8 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Warriors are forcing 13.8 per game, which is 23rd in the league. They also come into the game sitting 27th in blocked shots at 4.3 per game.

Betting Trends

• When looking at their past ten road matchups, New York has an ATS record of 6-3-1 while averaging 107 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
• Golden State has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 113 points per game while allowing 110. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
• As the betting underdog, the Knicks have an ATS mark of just 3-7 in their last ten games. New York posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
• In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Warriors have a straight up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 7-3.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The return of Steph Curry was huge for the Warriors on Saturday, as they picked up a much needed win over the Lakers. Now, they are tied for the 9th seed in the West and will need to pick up a win if they want to gain ground on the Suns, who lost yesterday in Milwaukee. On the other side, the Knicks have rattled off three straight wins. I’m going with the Warriors at home in this one, as they ride the momentum of Curry being back in the lineup.