Nets vs. Pistons Odds, Analysis, Preediction ATS

Brooklyn Nets (43-36 SU, 40-38-1 ATS) vs. Detroit Pistons (16-63 SU, 34-43-2 ATS)
When: Wednesday, April 5th, 7:00 PM (ET)
Where: Little Caesars Arena, MI, Detroit
TV: BSDE

Point Spread: Bkn -10.5/Det +10.5
Total: 222.5
Money Line: Brooklyn Nets -527/+397

Notable Injuries

Nets

• Ben Simmons (Out) Back/Knee

Pistons

• Bojan Bogdanovic (Out) Achilles
• Alec Burks (Out) Foot
• Rodney McGruder (Out) Illness
• Hamidou Diallo (Out) Ankle
• Marvin Bagley III (Out) Concussion
• Isaiah Stewart (Out) Hip
• Cade Cunningham (Out) Shin

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Brooklyn is 43-36 overall. When taking to the road, Brooklyn has a mark of 21-19 and a win percentage of 52%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 40-38-1 vs the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs the spread, they are 3-2 in their past 5 games, and 1-4 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 4-6 SU and 3-7 ATS.

In their most recent game, Brooklyn was unable to come away with a victory against the Timberwolves, losing by a score of 107-102. Despite Spencer Dinwiddie leading the team with 30 points, the Nets were unable to overcome their status as 3-point underdogs. The Nets also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, Detroit is 16-63 overall. When playing at home, Detroit has a mark of 9-31 and a win percentage of 22%. Currently, the team is 15th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 34-43-2 vs the spread. The Pistons need a win in today’s matchup vs Brooklyn to avoid their 11th straight loss.

After suffering a 118-105 loss to the Heat, Detroit will be looking to bounce back. Jaden Ivey was the team’s leading scorer with 30 points on a shooting percentage of 73.3%. In terms of betting, the Pistons managed to cover the spread as 14-point underdogs heading into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent game between the two teams, the Nets picked up a 124-121 win over the Pistons. However, heading into the game, Brooklyn was favored to win by 8.0 points, giving the Pistons and ATS victory. So far, the two teams have split their season series, with each team at 1-1. Although the Pistons have the better ATS mark across the previous 5 head-head matchups at 4-1, the average scoring margin sits in favor of Brooklyn, as they averaged 117 points per game while allowing 113. The over-under record in these same games is 4-1, with the teams combining for an average of 230 points per game.

Analysis

This season, the Nets’ offense is averaging 113.5 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Brooklyn has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 97.8 possessions per game. Brooklyn’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 38.1% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 33.6 3-point shots per game, placing them 13th in the NBA. On defense, the Nets are allowing an average of 112.12 points per game, placing them 18th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.46% of their looks from deep.

Coming into today’s game, Mikal Bridges is the leading scorer for Brooklyn at 20.3 points per game. This season, Bridges has a field goal percentage of 47.3%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Spencer Dinwiddie at 17.6 points per contest.

Coming into the game, Detroit’s offense is ranked just 29th in scoring at 110.6 points per game. This has come while being the 16th-ranked unit in pace. So far, the Pistons are averaging 99.1 possessions per contest. Detroit’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 35.0% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 32.5 3-point shots per game, placing them 17th in the NBA. Defense has been a struggle for Detroit, as they are currently allowing 112.55 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.41% of their looks from the outside.

Bojan Bogdanovic will not be available for today’s game in Detroit due to an injury, as reported on the injury report. This means that Jaden Ivey will need to step up and take on the role of primary scorer for the team. This year, Ivey has been averaging 16.0 points per game for the Pistons.

Betting Trends

• The Nets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a ATS loss.
• The Nets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven Wednesday games.
• The Pistons are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss.
• The Pistons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Wednesday games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Detroit Pistons are loaded with talent but the chemistry just isn’t there to win games at this point. The Nets are desperately trying to keep their position in the Eastern Conference standings as they don’t want to end up having to play the Boston Celtics. I’m betting the Nets to cover the -11 vs. Detroit Wednesday night.