Nets vs. Nuggets Point Spread Bet

Brooklyn Nets (38-29 SU, 36-30-1 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (46-21 SU, 36-30-1 ATS)
When: Sunday, March 12th, 3:30 PM (ET)
Where: Ball Arena, CO, Denver
TV: ALT

Point Spread: Bkn +9/Den -9
Total: 232.0
Money Line: Brooklyn Nets +302/-386

Notable Injuries

Nets

• Ben Simmons (Out) Back/Knee

Nuggets

• Vlatko Cancar (Probable) Wrist
• Zeke Nnaji (Out) Shoulder
• Collin Gillespie (Out) Lower Leg

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Brooklyn is 38-29 overall. When taking to the road, Brooklyn has a mark of 19-17 and a win percentage of 53%. Currently, the team is 5th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 36-30-1 vs the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs the spread, they are 4-1 in their past 5 games and 5-0 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 5-5 SU and 7-3 ATS.

In their upcoming game, Brooklyn will be looking to capitalize on their recent win over the Timberwolves. Mikal Bridges led the way for the Nets with 34 points. Despite being 4-point underdogs on the spread, the Nets were able to secure an ATS win.

Heading into the game, Denver is 46-21 overall. When playing at home, Denver has a mark of 30-5 and a win percentage of 86%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Western Conference. So far, they are 36-30-1 vs the spread. The Nuggets need a win in today’s matchup vs Brooklyn to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

In their most recent matchup, the Spurs defeated Denver with a score of 128-120. Nikola Jokic scored the most points for the team with 37, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Nuggets were 12 points ahead going into the game.

The Historicals

Similar to their season-long average, the Nets averaged 111.0 points per game vs the Nuggets. On the other side, Denver saw an improvement in their scoring numbers when playing the Nets, as they averaged 124.0 points per game in these matchups. When looking at how these teams have performed vs the spread in recent matchups, the Nets have an ATS mark of 3-2. Yet, the Nuggets have averaged more points per game in these contests, at 117 compared to Denver at 114. A combined average of 231 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.

Analysis

This year, the Brooklyn offense is not only near the NBA average in points at 113.7 points per game, but they are also playing at a pace similar to the league average. So far, the Nets are ranked 19th in possessions per contest. Brooklyn’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 38.5% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 33.1 3-point shots per game, placing them 15th in the NBA. On defense, the Nets are allowing an average of 112.12 points per game, placing them 18th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.46% of their looks from deep.

Mikal Bridges is the top scorer for Brooklyn, averaging 18.7 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 47.4%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Spencer Dinwiddie, with an average of 17.9 points per game.

For the season, Denver has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 116.9 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 98.3 possessions per contest. Denver has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 1st in 3-point shooting percentage at 38.9%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.4 attempts per contest. On defense, the Nuggets are allowing an average of 110.41 points per game, placing them 14th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.42% of their looks from deep.

Nikola Jokic is the top scorer for Denver, averaging 24.5 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 62.9%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Jamal Murray, with an average of 20.2 points per game.

Betting Trends

• Nets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
• Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Don’t fall for this sucker bet! The Nuggets are going to BLOW OUT the Nets today!