NBA Predictions 1/22/24: Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks Best Bet

Boston Celtics (33-10 SU, 20-21 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (24-18 SU, 23-19 ATS)

When: Monday, January 22nd, 8:30 PM (ET)

Where: American Airlines Center, TX, Dallas

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Bos -3/Dal +3 (Learn about reduced vigorish! It’ll save you tons of $$$!)

Total: 240.5

Money Line: Boston Celtics -149/+124

Notable Injuries

Celtics

• Jrue Holiday (Out) Elbow
• Al Horford (Out) Rest

Mavericks

• Dante Exum (Doubtful) Heel
• Seth Curry (Questionable) Ankle

At 8:30 ET, the Boston Celtics (-149) will travel to take on the Dallas Mavericks (+124) in a non-conference matchup. The over/under line for the game is 240.5.

According to NBCS, the Celtics (33-10) are favored by 3 points over the Mavericks (24-18). Boston is currently 1st in the Eastern Conference, while Dallas is 6th in the West. The game will be played at the American Airlines Center.

Recent Form

Today, the Celtics are favored by 3 points against the Mavericks. This season, Boston has been favored in 40 of their 43 games and has a record of 31-9 as the favorite. When favored, the Celtics have gone 18-20 ATS, with an average scoring margin of +10.4 points per game.

In their most recent game, the Celtics defeated the Rockets by a score of 116-107. They were favored by 12 points in that game, giving them an ATS loss. The O/U line for the game was 226.5 points.

For the season, the Celtics have an O/U record of 22-21, and the under has hit in their last four games. On average, their games have finished with 231 points, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 240.5.

In the Eastern Conference, the Celtics are in 1st place with a record of 33-10. On the road, they are 13-9 compared to 20-1 at home. The Celtics have won two straight games on the road.

The Mavericks are 24-18 on the season and are currently 6th in the Western Conference. In the Southwest Division, they are in 2nd place.

Dallas lost to the Lakers in their last game by a score of 127-110. The O/U line for that game was 245 points. As 3-point underdogs, they did not cover the spread (-17).

This season, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 23-19, including going 11-11 ATS at home. As the underdog, their ATS record is 8-9, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two home games.

On average, the Mavericks’ games have finished with 235.9 points, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 240.5. This season, their games have averaged an over/under line of 234.8 points.

In non-conference games, the Mavericks are 6-3 compared to 18-15 against Western Conference opponents.

The Historicals

The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Celtics. In these matchups, Boston has averaged 110 points per game, while allowing 104. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 1-4. Combined, they averaged 214 points in these games.

Analysis

So far this season, the Celtics are one of the most prolific three-point shooting teams in the league, leading the NBA in both three-point attempts and makes. They are also 5th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. Overall, Boston is 4th in the NBA in scoring at 120.3 points per game.

On the road, the Celtics are averaging 117.9 points per game compared to 122.9 at home. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 15th in the league at 47%.

Coming into this game, Boston’s offense has outscored the NBA scoring average in 69.8% of their games. However, they are 21st in the league in assists at 25.6 per game.

At present, the Celtics’ defense is ranked 4th, allowing 110.6 points per game. For the season, Boston is ranked 29th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 19.5 free-throws per game vs. the Celtics and have an overall field goal percentage of 45.2%.

At home, the Mavericks are averaging 120.7 points per game, which is 7th in the NBA. Overall, they are 7th in the league in scoring at 118.5 points per game.

So far, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA average in 57.1% of their games. In terms of pace, Dallas is 11th in the NBA with an average of 99.7 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are 2nd in the league in three-point attempts and makes. They are shooting 36% from beyond the arc, which is 15th in the NBA.

So far, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 20th in the league at 117.4 points per contest. The Dallas defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.5% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.2% of their field goal attempts vs. Dallas.

Betting Trends

• In their last three games away from home, the Celtics have a straight-up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 107 points per game in these contests.
• In their last ten games at home, the Mavericks have a straight-up record of 5-5 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 114 points per game in these contests.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 5-5.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Celtics have a straight-up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Mavericks come into the game favored by three, and have been off since Wednesday, compared to a Celtics team that played last night, and will be missing Jrue Holiday. His defensive presence will be missed against Luka Doncic. I’m taking the Mavs to cover as 3-point underdogs. Did you know… You can bet 20 point NBA teasers at Wagerweb Sportsbook!