NBA Picks: Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks Pick 2/29/24

Golden State Warriors (30-27 SU, 31-25 ATS) vs. New York Knicks (35-24 SU, 32-27 ATS)

When: Thursday, February 29th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Madison Square Garden, NY, New York

TV: TNT

Point Spread: GS -4/NY +4

Total: 223

Money Line: Golden State Warriors -175/+144

Notable Injuries

Warriors

• Andrew Wiggins (Out) Personal
• Gui Santos (Out) Knee

Knicks

• Julius Randle (Out) Shoulder
• OG Anunoby (Out) Elbow
• Mitchell Robinson (Out) Ankle
• Jalen Brunson (Questionable) Neck

At 7:30 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-175) will travel to take on the New York Knicks (+144) in a non-conference matchup. The Knicks are currently 4th in the Eastern Conference, while the Warriors are 10th in the Western Conference.

This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York. The over/under line is currently set at 223 points.

Recent Form

Golden State has won six straight games on the road and are 18-8 ATS on the road this season. As the favorite, they are 17-19 ATS on the road and 24-12 straight-up. Today, they are favored by 4 points and have gone 31-25 ATS overall.

The Warriors have a 29-27-1 O/U record this season, and the under has hit in four straight games. This year, their games have averaged 236.6 points per game compared to today’s line of 223.

The Warriors’ last game finished with a combined score of 235 points, which was well below the O/U line of 245. They also covered the spread, winning by a score of 123-112.

Overall, the Warriors are 30-27 this season, which puts them 10th in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 16-21 and 5-9 against other teams in the Pacific Division. On the road, they are 14-12 compared to 16-15 at home.

In their last two games, the Warriors have been favored by an average of 10.5 points. As the favorite this season, they have a scoring margin of +4.3 points per game.

Today, the Knicks will look to end their 4-game under streak as they take on the Warriors. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 223 points, which is right around their season average of 223.7 points per game.

New York’s last game finished with a combined score of 207 points, well below the O/U line of 214. The Knicks lost to the Pelicans by a score of 115-92.

As the underdog, the Knicks are 9-17 straight-up and 11-15 against the spread. They have gone 32-27 ATS overall this season, including going 16-14 ATS at home.

The Knicks are currently 4th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 35-24. In non-conference games, they are 11-11 compared to 24-13 against the East.

At home, the Knicks are 20-10 straight-up and 16-14 ATS. On average, they are outscoring their opponents by 5.8 points per game at home.

The Historicals

Although the Warriors have the better ATS mark across the previous 5 head-head matchups at 3-2, the average scoring margin sits in favor of New York, as they averaged 110 points per game while allowing 107. A combined average of 217 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

On the road this season, the Warriors have the best scoring average in the NBA at 121.3 points per game. Overall, they are 6th in the league with an average of 119.2 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Warriors are 17th in the NBA at 47%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Golden State is 2nd in the league with an average of 15.1 made threes per game. They are also 5th in three-point shooting percentage at 38%. In terms of pace, the Warriors are 8th in the NBA at 100.2 possessions per game.

So far this season, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 61.4% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 4th in the league with an average of 29.2 per game. When it comes to offensive rebounds, Golden State is 4th in the NBA, with an average of 12.4 per game.

Coming into the game, the Warrior’s defense has held opposing teams to fewer points than the league average in 49.1% of their games. Currently, they are 19th in the NBA at 117.4 points per game allowed. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Warriors defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.6% while allowing 35.6% from downtown.

At home, the Knicks are scoring 113 points per game, which is 23rd in the NBA. Overall, they are 19th in scoring at 113.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 22nd in the league at 46%. In terms of pace, they are the slowest team in the NBA.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Knicks are 13th in both three-pointers made and attempted per game. They are hitting 36% of their shots from beyond the arc. In terms of two-point shooting, they are 23rd in the league at 53%.

On average, the Knicks are grabbing 12.8 offensive rebounds per game, which is 2nd in the NBA. In terms of assists, they are 29th in the league at 23.8 per game.

This season, the Knicks’ defense is the 4th ranked defense in the NBA at 4th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 67.8% of their games. On two point field goal attempts, the Knicks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.4% and allowing 37.2% from beyond the arc.

Betting Trends

• Through their last ten road games, Golden State has an ATS record of just 8-2. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 123 points per game.
• Through their last ten home games, New York has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 113 points per game.
• Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, New York has an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.
• Through their last three games as the favorite, the Warriors have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

I’m counting on a huge game from Steph Curry in this one, and I like the Warriors to take care of business vs. the banged-up Knicks. I’m taking the Warriors at -4 at Madison Square Garden.