NBA Picks: Bucks vs. Grizzlies 3/26/22

Milwaukee Bucks (46-27 SU, 35-38-0 ATS) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (51-23 SU, 48-26-0 ATS)

When: Saturday March 26 2022, 08:00 PM (ET)

Where: FedEx Forum, Memphis, Tennesee

TV: BSWI

Point Spread: MIL -6/MEM +6 (Opened PHI -5.5 at BAS – They let you bet on sides/totals at -105 odds instead of -110! This trumps ANY signup bonus you can get!)

Total: 221.5 (Opened at 222.5)

Money Line: Milwaukee -244/Memphis 198

Power Rating: MIL -5

Probable Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks PG George Hill, SG Grayson Allen, SF Khris Middleton P, PF Giannis Antetokounmpo Q, C Brook Lopez

Memphis Grizzlies PG Tyus Jones, SG Dillon Brooks Off Inj, SF Desmond Bane, PF Jaren Jackson Jr., C Steven Adams

Key Injuries

Milwaukee Bucks
Jrue Holiday: Ankle (OUT)
Khris Middleton: Wrist (PROBABLE)
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Lindell Wigginton: Ankle (OUT)
DeAndre’ Bembry: Knee (OUT)

Memphis Grizzlies
Killian Tillie: Knee (OUT)
Brandon Clarke: Hip (OUT)
Ja Morant: Knee (OUT)

The Memphis Grizzlies host the Milwaukee Bucks in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:00 PM ET at the FedEx Forum.

Recent Form

The Milwaukee Bucks come into this game with an overall record of 46-27, placing them 3rd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Milwaukee is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 20-15. Over their last five games, the Bucks have played well, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Milwaukee is averaging 122.0 points per game, 7.0 points more than their season average of 115.1. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 112.0 points per contest. Even though Milwaukee has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 115.0 points per game, up from the Bucks’ usual rate of 111.0. In the Milwaukee Bucks’ most recent game, Milwaukee took down Washington by a score of 114-102

The Memphis Grizzlies come into this game with an overall record of 51-23, placing them 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, Memphis is above .500 at home, holding a record of 26-10. The Grizzlies have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Memphis is averaging 125.0 points per game, 10.0 points more than their season average of 115.1. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 114.0 points per contest. The Grizzlies have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 109.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 109.4. In the Memphis Grizzlies’ most recent game, Memphis took down Indiana by a score of 133-103.

Individual Player Analysis

As Milwaukee travels to take on the Memphis Grizzlies, the Bucks’ leading scorer is Giannis Antetokounmpo. Through 61 games, Antetokounmpo is averaging 29 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 49.0% of his games. So far, the Grizzlies are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 46.03% of their games, placing them 11th among NBA defenses. On the other side, the Grizzlies will rely on a collective scoring effort as they will be without their top scorer in Ja Morant. However, if they hope to put up a big game, Memphis will need to do so against a Bucks defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 40.68%. This figure is good for a rank of 4th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

The Bucks come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 111.7 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Milwaukee is winning at a rate of 61%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 15.0 points. On the other side, the Grizzlies hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 34 games as the better defensive team, picking up 25 wins (74%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Milwaukee Bucks and Memphis Grizzlies have met up for 1 game. Milwaukee took game one by a score of 126-114.

How the Public is Betting the Bucks vs Grizzlies

67% are betting the Grizzlies against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of No Odds

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

• Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

In what figured to be an exciting matchup between Giannis Antetokounmpo and Ja Morant, it looks like there is a chance both star players might miss tonight’s game. Not only has Morant been ruled out for the game against Milwaukee, but it sounds as if he will be out for an extended period of time. On the other side, the Greek Freak is listed as questionable with a knee injury. Luckily for Memphis, they have been outstanding without their star point guard. With a line 6 points in favor of the Bucks, I see the Grizzlies covering at home. Don’t forget to check out our Saturday college basketball picks!