NBA Picks: 76ers at Wizards Game 4

Philadelphia 76ers (49-23 SU, 38-31 ATS) at Washington Wizards (34-38, 41-30), 5/31/21

When: 7 pm ET Monday, May 31

Where: Capital One Arena

TV: TNT

Point spread: Phil -8/Wash +8

Total: 230

The top-seeded 76ers shoot for a sweep of their best-of-seven Eastern Conference playoff series with the Wizards Monday night in DC. Philadelphia won the first two games of this series at home, then rolled to victory and glory, in the form of an easy cover, in Game 3 at Washington Saturday. Here’s how we homeworked this game to extrapolate our free against the spread pick.

NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

The NBA playoffs betting market opened Philadelphia as a 7.5-point road favorite for this Game 4, with an over/under of right around 230.5. Early betting action bumped the Sixers to -8 and dipped that total to 230.

Any bettors out there thinking Washington might salvage one game here could get a price of +290 on the NBA money line at Intertops Sportsbook.

76ers-Wizards NBA Playoffs Betting Preview

Philadelphia leads this series 3-0 after winning Game 3 Saturday in Washington 132-103. The Sixers spurted to a 29-13 lead out of the gate and led 72-58 at the half. They then let the Wizards get within eight points early in the third quarter but pulled away from there, later leading by 31 for the easy win and cover as five-point favorites.

Philly shot a hot 59 percent from the floor Saturday, hit 17/33 from 3-point range, held Washington to just 40 percent FG shooting, and won the battle on the boards 51-41.

The Sixers won Game 1 of this series at home 125-118 but just missed the money at -8. Philadelphia then took Game 2 by a score of 120-95, covering at -8.5.

The 76ers finished 15 games ahead of the Wizards in the regular-season standings, 49-23 to 34-38, and swept the season series, winning the three games by an average score of 127-115. So Philly is 6-0 SU against Washington this season, although only 3-3 ATS, favored by a bucket too much three times.

According to ESPN.com, the Sixers played 27-5 this season with Ben Simmons, Seth Curry, Danny Green, Tobias Harris, and Joel Embiid (who threw in 36 points Saturday) as the starting lineup.

On the injury front, Washington guards Bradley Beal (hamstring) and Russell Westbrook (ankle) are both ailing, and while they’ll play Monday night, how effective they’ll be is uncertain.

76ers-Wizards NBA Betting Trends

• The Sixers played 20-16 SU, 16-18 ATS on the road this season.
• The Wizards played 19-17 SU, 18-17 ATS at home this season.
• The Sixers played 12-9 ATS as favorites on the road this season.
• The Wizards played 12-9 ATS as home dogs this season.
• The Sixers played 21-16 SU, 16-19 ATS vs. teams that made the playoffs this season.
• The Wizards played 13-24 SU but 23-14 ATS against teams that made these playoffs this season.

Totals Report

The Under was 38-34 in Sixers games this season, which averaged 222 total points.

Totals split 36-36 in Wizards games this season, even though they averaged 235 total points, the highest in the Association.

Totals are split 3-3 in Sixers-Wizards games this season, which are averaging 236 total points against an average over/under of 232.

Free NBA Playoffs Pick

Philadelphia is rolling while Washington is hurting. And playing on the road means the spread is a bit friendlier than it would be if this game were being played elsewhere. We’re betting the Sixers here, minus the points, for our free NBA playoffs pick for Monday. Bet your Memorial Day NBA picks FREE by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use bonus code PREDICT100 to get the bonus credited).