NBA Pick: Hornets vs. Knicks Recommended Bet

by | Last updated Mar 7, 2023 | nba

Charlotte Hornets (20-46 SU, 27-34-5 ATS) vs. New York Knicks (39-27 SU, 38-27-1 ATS)
When: Tuesday, March 7th, 7:30 PM (ET)
Where: Madison Square Garden, NY, New York
TV: MSG

Point Spread: Cha +10/NY -10
Total: 232.5
Money Line: Charlotte Hornets +362/-496

Notable Injuries

Hornets

  • Cody Martin (Out) Knee
  • LaMelo Ball (Out) Ankle

Knicks

  • Jalen Brunson (Questionable) Foot

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Charlotte is 20-46 overall. When taking to the road, Charlotte has a mark of 9-26 and a win percentage of 26%. Currently, the team is 14th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 27-34-5 vs. the spread. Charlotte travels to take on the Knicks, hoping to avoid their 4th straight loss.

In their last outing, Charlotte was unable to come away with a win against the Nets, losing by a score of 102-86. Kelly Oubre Jr. led the team with 17 points, but it was not enough to overcome their status as 8-point underdogs. The Hornets also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, New York is 39-27 overall. When playing at home, New York has a mark of 19-15 and a win percentage of 56%. Currently, the team is 5th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 38-27-1 vs. the spread. New York will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Charlotte as they are the winners of 9 straight games.

After their win against the Celtics, New York will be looking to continue their momentum. Immanuel Quickley had a big game, scoring 38 points to help lead the team to victory. As 7-point underdogs on the spread, the Knicks were able to come away with an ATS win

The Historicals

In the most recent game between the two teams, the Knicks picked up a 134-131 win over the Hornets. However, heading into the game, New York was favored to win by 7.5 points, giving the Hornets an ATS victory. So far this season, the Knicks have a record of 2-0 vs. the Hornets. In terms of betting vs. the spread, the Hornets have gone 3-2, but the Knicks actually have a positive scoring differential. In these meetings, New York has averaged 115 points per contest while allowing 112. The over-under record in these same games is 3-2, with the teams combining for an average of 227 points per game.

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Analysis

For the season, Charlotte averages just 111.8 points per game, which is 26th in the league. This below-average production has come despite being one of the faster-paced teams in the NBA (4th). Charlotte’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 32.7% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 32.8 3-point shots per game, placing them 18th in the NBA. The defense has been a struggle for Charlotte, as they are currently allowing 114.89 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.29% of their looks from the outside.

Coming into today’s game, Terry Rozier is the leading scorer for Charlotte at 21.3 points per game. This season, Rozier has a field goal percentage of 41.2%. The team’s second-leading scorer is P.J. Washington at 15.2 points per contest.

This season, the Knicks’ offense averages 115.5 points per game, which is 13th in the NBA. In terms of pace, New York has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 97.7 possessions per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of New York’s offensive game plan, as they are ranked 8th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 35.3% of their looks from the outside. Defensively, the Knicks have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 106.6 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.2%.

Heading into this matchup, New York is in jeopardy of not having Jalen Brunson in the lineup as he is questionable. This season, he is the team’s second-leading scorer at 23.9 points per game. So far, Julius Randle leads the team in scoring and is averaging 25.4 points per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The Hornets are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight-up loss.
  • The Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points.
  • The Knicks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six home games.
  • The Knicks are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Oddsmakers and Bookies alike know that the general betting public is frothing at the mouth to place wagers on the red-hot New York Knicks. This creates an over-inflated line, not to mention, the Charlotte Hornets are playing pretty good basketball right now! I’m betting on Charlotte heavily, plus the points!