NBA Betting: Suns vs. Clippers Point Spread Pick 4/10/24

Phoenix Suns (46-33 SU, 33-45 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (51-28 SU, 38-41 ATS)

When: Wednesday, April 10th, 10:30 PM (ET)

Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles

TV: BSSC

Point Spread: Pho -3/LAC +3

Total: 226.5

Money Line: Phoenix Suns -150/+125

Notable Injuries

Suns

• Jusuf Nurkic (Questionable) Ankle
• Damion Lee (Out) Knee

Clippers

• James Harden (Questionable) Foot
• Kawhi Leonard (Out) Knee
• Joshua Primo (Out) Ankle

The Phoenix Suns (-150) have lost two straight games and are favored by 3 points over the Los Angeles Clippers (+125). The over/under is 226.5 points. The Clippers (51-28) have won four straight games and are fourth in the Western Conference. The Suns (46-33) are seventh in the West.

This Western Pacific Division matchup will be played at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 ET and the game can be seen on BSSC.

Recent Form

Phoenix is favored by 3 points today against the Clippers. This season, the Suns have been favored in 59 of their 79 games and have gone 38-21 in those games. As the favorite, they have an average scoring margin of +4.7 points per game.

The Suns’ ATS record for the season is 33-45, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 17-21 ATS compared to 16-24 ATS at home.

Phoenix is 8th in the Western Conference with a record of 46-33. In the Pacific Division, they are in 2nd place. Against other Western Conference teams, the Suns are 26-23 and 20-10 against the East.

In their last game against the Clippers, the Suns lost 105-92. Phoenix was favored by 9.5 points in that game and also lost the ATS. The O/U line for that game was 226.5.

The Suns have an O/U record of 34-44-1 this season, and the under has hit in their last four games. On average, their games have finished with 229.6 points.

The Clippers are currently 4th in the Western Conference with a record of 51-28. In the Pacific Division, they are in 1st place. They have gone 30-19 in the West compared to 21-9 against non-conference opponents.

Los Angeles has won their last four games and is 3-point underdog in today’s game against the Suns. As the underdog, the Clippers have gone 5-12 this season.

This season, the Clippers have gone 38-41 against the spread and are 18-20 ATS at home and 20-21 ATS on the road. They have covered the spread as the underdog in their last two games.

In the Clippers’ most recent game, they defeated the Suns by a score of 105-92. They were 9.5-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 226.5 points.

This season, the average combined scoring total in Clippers games is 228.1 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line. The team’s O/U record for the season is 37-41-1.

The Historicals

The Clippers have had the better record vs the spread over the last 5 games, going 4-1. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 6 points per game. A combined average of 234 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Analysis

This season, the Suns are 10th in the NBA in scoring at 116.1 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually scored more on the road (116.5) than at home (115.8).

When it comes to pace, the Suns are 15th in the league at 98.1 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 5th overall at 49%. This has helped them rank 5th in true shooting percentage.

From beyond the arc, the Suns are 6th in three-point shooting at 38%. However, they are just 24th in three-point attempts. Overall, they have made an average of 12.3 threes per game (19th).

Phoenix’s defense is currently in line with the NBA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 113.4 points per game. Phoenix’s defense is currently forcing 14.1 turnovers per game, which is 25th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 5th in blocked shots, with an average of 6.1 rejections per game.

Heading into their game against the Suns, the Clippers are 11th in the NBA in scoring at 115.9 points per game. They have been one of the league’s best three-point shooting teams, hitting 38% of their attempts (4th). However, they are only 21st in three-point attempts.

In terms of pace, the Clippers are 27th in the league at 96.4 possessions per game. They have been an efficient offensive team overall, ranking 6th in field goal percentage (49%). The Clippers have also been solid at getting to the free-throw line, averaging 22.4 attempts per game (12th).

When playing at home, the Clippers are averaging 115.9 points per game, which is 13th in the NBA. In terms of assists, they are 20th in the league at 25.7 per game. Heading into the game, the Clippers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 51.9% of their games.

At present, the Clippers’ defense is ranked 10th, allowing 112.2 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Clippers defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.6% while allowing 36.6% from downtown.

Betting Trends

• Across their last three road contests, Phoenix has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1 while averaging 110 points per game.
• In their last ten games at home, the Clippers have a straight-up record of 8-2 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 113 points per game in this stretch.
• In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Clippers have a straight-up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Suns have gone 5-5 vs. the spread. Their overall record in these games was 5-5.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Suns head into tonight’s game in need of a win after they have dropped two straight. If they finish out their season strong, they still have a chance to catch the Pelicans for the 6th seed and avoid the play-in tournament. But at the bare minimum, they are hoping to hold on to the 7th seed. As for the Clippers, they have a two-game lead over the Mavericks for the 4th seed and need to stay hot, as Dallas has also won four straight. The Clippers would love to hold this spot, giving them home-court advantage in a first-round series. For tonight’s game, I’m going with the Suns to pick up the win and cover, as I don’t see the Clippers having enough without Leonard and Harden dealing with a foot injury.