NBA Betting Preview: Timberwolves vs. Warriors ML Pick

Minnesota Timberwolves (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS)

When: Sunday, November 12th, 8:30 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Min +2/GS -2

Total: 223.5

Money Line: Minnesota Timberwolves +108/-130

Notable Injuries

Timberwolves

• Jordan McLaughlin (Out) Knee
• Naz Reid (Questionable) Neck
• Anthony Edwards (Questionable) Illness
• Jaylen Clark (Out) Achilles

Warriors

Recent Form

Coming into today’s game vs. the Warriors, the Timberwolves are looking to build on their above .500 record of 6-2. On the road this season, the Timberwolves have posted a 1-2 record, whereas they have a 5-0 record at home.

Facing the Timberwolves today, the Warriors look to maintain their record above .500, which currently stands at 6-4. The team is presently 5th in the Western Conference and 1st in the Pacific division.

The Historicals

The level of competition has been tight in the 5 most recent games between Timberwolves and Warriors with just -1 points per game separating the teams. Minnesota has the ATS edge in this span at 3-2. Over the course of these games, they averaged 227 points per game, leading a 2-3 over-under record.

Analysis

Coming off their recent game, the Timberwolves offense tallied 117 points in a matchup against the Spurs. Their field goal percentage for the game was 49.4%, and they made 10 threes. For the season, the Timberwolves offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NBA with a field goal percentage of 48%. So far, they have hit 54% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 11.4 made three’s per contest.

At present, the Timberwolves’ defense is ranked 1st, allowing 102.2 points per game.

Inside the arc, the Timberwolves defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 48.8% and 32.1% from three-point territory.

In their most recent game, the Warriors’ offense tallied 110 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 114.4 points per game. The team’s scoring leader is Stephen Curry, who holds an average of 30 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Klay Thompson is averaging 16.1 points per game this season.

Currently, the Warriors’ defense holds the 10th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.9 points per game.

In terms of two-point field goal attempts, the Warriors’ defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 52.6% while allowing 34.0% from downtown.

Betting Trends

• When looking at their past three road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 108 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
• Across their last five home contests, Golden State has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 120 points per game.
• Minnesota has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
• In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Warriors have a straight up record of 6-4 and an ATS mark of 4-6.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Even though Anthony Edwards is listed as questionable on the injury report, by all accounts, he is set to play. On the other side, the Warriors are playing on back-to-back nights and fell to the Cavaliers at home last night. Look for the Timberwolves to continue their impressive start to the season and knock off the Warriors. I like Minnesota on the moneyline.