NBA Betting Preview: Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns – Nov 22
Golden State Warriors (7-8 SU, 5-9 ATS) vs. Phoenix Suns (8-6 SU, 6-8 ATS)
When: Wednesday, November 22nd, 10:00 PM (ET)
Where: Footprint Center, AZ, Phoenix
TV: ESPN
Point Spread: GS +2.5/Pho -2.5
Total: 233.5
Money Line: Golden State Warriors +114/-136
Notable Injuries
Warriors
- Draymond Green (Out) Suspension
- Gary Payton II (Questionable) Foot
Suns
- Bradley Beal (Out) Lower Back
- Damion Lee (Out) Knee
- Yuta Watanabe (Out) Quad
Recent Form
The Warriors head into today’s action with an overall record of 7-8 and have gone 1-2 over their previous three games. In their 15 games, the Warriors have achieved a 6-6 record in games against Western Conference teams, and they have a 1-2 record in non-conference play.
Today’s matchup sees the Suns seeking to extend their current four-game winning streak, with an overall record standing at 8-6. At the moment, the team holds 7th place in the Western Conference and 3rd place in the Pacific division.
The Historicals
Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Suns have an average scoring margin of +9 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 4-1. Golden State and Phoenix averaged a combined 233 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.
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Analysis
The Warriors offense is coming off a game in which they scored 121 points vs. the Rockets. Overall, their field goal percentage was 46.8% while connecting on 21 threes. Stephen Curry led the scoring for the Warriors, contributing 32 points. Additionally, Klay Thompson chipped in with 20 points.
On defense, Warriors is currently around the league average in points allowed, giving up an average of 113.5 points per game.
Opponents are hitting 53.0% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.1% of their three-point attempts.
The Suns offense is coming off a game in which they scored 120 points vs. the Trail Blazers. Overall, their field goal percentage was 56.6% while connecting on seven threes. Kevin Durant led the team in scoring, putting up 31 points. Additionally, Devin Booker contributed 28 points for the Suns.
The Suns’ defense is presently ranked 20th in the league, allowing an average of 114.9 points per contest.
When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Suns squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 51.6% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.4% from downtown.
Betting Trends
- Through their last ten road contests, the Warriors’ offense has averaged 112 points per game while allowing an average of 113. Golden State posted an overall record of 5-5 while going 5-5 ATS.
- Through their last five home games, Phoenix has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 4-1 while averaging 121 points per game.
- As the betting underdog, the Warriors have an ATS mark of just 2-2-1 in their last five games. Golden State posted a straight-up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Suns have a straight-up record of 3-0 while going 1-2 against the spread.
Joes Pick To Cover The Spread
Both the Suns and Warriors are missing key players, with Phoenix once again playing without Bradley Beal and Golden State missing Draymond Green to suspension. I’m rolling with Devin Booker, Kevin Durant, and the Suns in this one at -2.5. I like Phoenix ATS.