Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns: NBA Betting Preview

by | Last updated Nov 16, 2023 | nba

Minnesota Timberwolves (8-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) vs. Phoenix Suns (4-6 SU, 4-6 ATS)

When: Wednesday, November 15th, 9:00 PM (ET)

Where: Footprint Center, AZ, Phoenix

TV: AZFA

Point Spread: Min +6/Pho -6

Total: 227.5

Money Line: Minnesota Timberwolves +194/-240

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Notable Injuries

Timberwolves

  • Jordan McLaughlin (Out) Knee
  • Jaylen Clark (Out) Achilles

Suns

  • Bradley Beal (Probable) Lower Back
  • Eric Gordon (Probable) Shoulder
  • Devin Booker (Probable) Calf
  • Damion Lee (Out) Knee

Recent Form

In today’s game against the Suns, the Timberwolves aim to continue their success with a record above .500, currently at 8-2. Across 10 games, the Timberwolves have a 6-0 record when facing Western Conference teams, and they have a 2-2 record in non-conference games.

Over the Suns’ last five games, they are 1-4 and come in with an overall record of 4-6. At the moment, the team holds 10th place in the Western Conference and 4th place in the Pacific division.

The Historicals

The Suns have had the better record vs the spread over the last 5 games, going 5-0. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 6 points per game. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 3-2. Combined, they averaged 230 points in these games.

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Analysis

Coming off their recent game, the Timberwolves offense tallied 104 points in a matchup against the Warriors. Their field goal percentage for the game was 44.4%, and they made 14 threes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Timberwolves offense has been good from outside, hitting 37% of their three-pointers on an average of 30.5 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 48%.

At this time, the Timberwolves’ defense is positioned 1st in the NBA, permitting 102.9 points per game.

For the season, Minnesota is ranked 21st in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 19.4 free-throws per game vs. the Timberwolves and have an overall field goal percentage of 41.9%.

In their most recent game, the Suns’ offense concluded with only 99 points against the Thunder. Throughout the game, they made 9/29 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 38.6%. The team’s top scorer is Kevin Durant, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 30, while Grayson Allen also maintains a PPG average of 12.2 leading up to the game.

On defense, Suns is currently around the league average in points allowed, giving up an average of 112.1 points per game.

When it comes to forced turnovers, the Suns are forcing 16.2 per game, which is 28th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 2nd in blocked shots at 6.8 per game.

Betting Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 1-3-1 while averaging 108 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Phoenix has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 107 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Timberwolves have a strong straight-up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 5-0 in these scenarios.
  • The last three games that Phoenix was favored, they had an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 1-2 straight up.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Timberwolves have been one of the early surprises of the season and continued their hot start with a road win over the Warriors last night. On the other side, the Suns have dropped two straight but come into this game looking healthier, with Booker and Beal both listed as probable. Look for the Suns to take advantage of the Wolves having to play on back-to-back nights and cover at -6. Bet your NBA predictions for FREE this week by using one of our sportsbook promo codes!