Milwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic NBA Betting Preview & Predictions

Milwaukee Bucks (5-3 SU, 1-7 ATS) vs. Orlando Magic (4-4 SU, 6-2 ATS)

When: Saturday, November 11th, 6:00 PM (ET)

Where: Amway Center, FL, Orlando

TV: BSF

Point Spread: Mil -3.5/Orl +3.5

Total: 232

Money Line: Milwaukee Bucks -159/+131

Notable Injuries

Bucks

• Damian Lillard (Questionable) Calf

Magic

• Gary Harris (Questionable) Groin
• Wendell Carter Jr. (Out) Finger

Recent Form

The Bucks head into today’s action with an overall record of 5-3 and have gone 2-1 over their previous three games. The Bucks have a 1-2 record on the road this season, compared to their 4-1 record when playing at home.

Facing off against the Bucks, the Magic are looking to secure a winning record, with their current record sitting at 4-4. On the road, the Magic have gone 2-2 so far this season compared to their 2-2 mark at home.

The Historicals

The Bucks have had the better record vs the spread over the last 5 games, going 4-1. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 15 points per game. The over-under record in these same games is 4-1, with the teams combining for an average of 243 points per game.

Analysis

Milwaukee’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 124 points against the Pacers. They had an overall field goal percentage of 52.9% and made 23/26 free throws. Offensively, the Bucks have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, which is 10th in the league. In terms of three-pointers, they are 14th in percentage and 8th in three-pointers made.

Coming into the game, the Bucks’ defense is giving up an average of 120.2 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 87.5% of their games.

On two-point field goal attempts, the Bucks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 57.0% and allowing 36.4% from beyond the arc.

Coming off their recent game, the Magic offense tallied 119 points in a matchup against the Hawks. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.7%, and they made 10 threes. The top scorer for the Magic was Jalen Suggs with 21 points, while Paolo Banchero also added 17 to the scoreboard.

Currently, the Magic’s defense holds the 5th rank in the NBA, allowing 107.2 points per game.

On two point field goal attempts, the Magic’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.0% and allowing 34.7% from beyond the arc.

Betting Trends

• Across the Bucks last three road games, the team averaged 121 points per game while allowing 127. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 1-2 straight-up.
• Across their last five home contests, Orlando has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 106 points per game.
• In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Magic have a straight-up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
• Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Bucks have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 0-5.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Even if Damian Lillard isn’t able to play, I see the Bucks picking up the win and covering. Milwaukee has been very inconsistent this season, but Giannis appears to be finding his footing after a monster performance vs. the Pacers. I see the Bucks having a big game at home and like them to cover.