Milwaukee Bucks vs. Golden State Warriors Point Spread Bet

Milwaukee Bucks (41-21 SU, 27-35 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (32-28 SU, 33-26 ATS)

When: Wednesday, March 6th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: Mil +4.5/GS -4.5

Total: 226.5

Money Line: Milwaukee Bucks +149/-181

Notable Injuries

Bucks

• Giannis Antetokounmpo (Questionable) Achilles
• Khris Middleton (Out) Ankle
• Jae Crowder (Probable) Knee
• MarJon Beauchamp (Probable) Foot

Warriors

None

At 10:00 ET, the Bucks will travel to San Francisco to take on the Warriors at Chase Center. Milwaukee is currently 2nd in the Eastern Conference, while the Warriors are 10th in the Western Conference.

Golden State is favored by 4.5 points and is -181 on the moneyline, while the Bucks are +149. The over/under line for the game is 226.5. ESPN will have the TV coverage.

Recent Form

The Bucks have won six straight games and are 41-21 on the season, which is good for 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 12-8 compared to 29-13 against the East.

Milwaukee’s ATS record for the season is 27-35, and they have covered the spread in six straight games. On the road, they are 13-17 ATS and have an average scoring differential of +2.0 points per game.

As the underdog, the Bucks have gone 2-6 straight-up and 3-5 ATS. Today, they are getting 4.5 points and have gone 2-6 as the underdog. On average, they have been outscored by 10.5 points per game as the underdog.

In their last game, the Bucks beat the Clippers by a score of 113-106. They were 2.5-point underdogs going into the game and have now covered the spread in six straight games. The O/U line for that game was 222.5.

This season, the Bucks have seen an average of 238.2 points per game, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 226.5. Milwaukee has gone 30-32 on the O/U for the season and has hit the under in six straight games.

Golden State’s O/U record for the season is 29-30-1, and the under has hit in their last seven games. Today’s O/U line of 226.5 is lower than the average of 233.1 in their games this season.

The Warriors are 26-12 as the favorite this season and have won three straight games against the spread as the favorite. Today, they are favored by 4.5 points. Against the spread, they are 13-17 at home and 20-9 on the road.

In their last game, the Warriors lost to the Celtics by a score of 140-88. They were 8-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 231 points.

Overall, the Warriors are 32-28 this season, which puts them 10th in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 16-21 and 5-9 against their division. In non-conference games, they are 16-7.

The Historicals

Although the Warriors have the better ATS mark across the previous 5 head-head matchups at 3-2, the average scoring margin sits in favor of Milwaukee, as they averaged 120 points per game while allowing 115. The over-under record in these same games is 3-2, with the teams combining for an average of 235 points per game.

Analysis

So far this season, the Bucks have the second-best scoring offense in the league at 121.4 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 119.6 points per contest.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Milwaukee is 5th in the NBA with an average of 14.3 made threes per game. Overall, they are hitting 37% of their attempts from beyond the arc.

Overall, the Bucks are 6th in field goal percentage at 49%. In terms of pace, they are 6th in the league at 100.8 possessions per game.

Defensively, the Bucks come into today’s game ranked 18th in the NBA at 116.9 points per game allowed. However, they have shown signs of improvement lately, ranking 16th in the league over their last three games. The Milwaukee defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.1% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.9% of their field goal attempts vs. Milwaukee.

The Warriors are one of the most potent offenses in the league, averaging 118.6 points per game (7th). They have been particularly strong from three-point range, ranking 2nd in made threes per game (15) and 3rd in attempts (40). At home, Golden State is averaging 117.5 points per game (12th).

When it comes to pace, the Warriors are 8th in the NBA, averaging 100.2 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 16th at 47%. Inside the arc, Golden State is 18th in two-point shooting at 54%.

So far this season, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60% of their games. In terms of free throws, they are 20th in made free throws per game (16.7) and 19th in attempts (21.4). In terms of assists, Golden State is 5th in the league with 29 per game.

Coming into the game, the Warriors defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 48.3% of their games. Currently, they are 19th in the NBA at 117.2 points per game allowed. The Warriors defense is coming off a game in which they held the Celtics offense to just 39.1% shooting. Overall, they gave up 140 points to Boston.

Betting Trends

• When looking at their past five road matchups, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 113 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
• When looking at their past five home matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 116 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
• Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Bucks have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-7.
• Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Warriors have a straight up record of 8-2. But their mark vs the spread was just 8-2.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Bucks pulled out an impressive win over the Clippers without Giannis in their last game. But even in that game, they were trailing big late and needed to mount a big comeback. The last time Milwaukee was on a West Coast road trip, things didn’t go well. I’m taking the Warriors at -4.5 in this one. Question! Did you know that you could be laying -105 odds on your games instead of the more expensive -110 option you’re being sapped with? Start saving big money TODAY by making the switch to reduced juice sports betting at BetAnySports! We’ve advertised then for over a decade with ZERO complaints! Click here to start saving today!