Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers Best Bet 4/6/23

Miami Heat (42-37 SU, 29-48-2 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (52-27 SU, 45-33-1 ATS)

When: Thursday, April 6th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Wells Fargo Center, PA, Philadelphia

TV: TNT

Point Spread: Mia +3.5/Phi -3.5 (Deposit $100 and get $100 FREE w/code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!)

Total: 220.0

Money Line: Mia +138/Sixers -167

Notable Injuries

Heat

• Kyle Lowry (Questionable) Knee
• Bam Adebayo (Questionable) Quadriceps
• Nikola Jovic (Out) Back

76ers

• P.J. Tucker (Questionable) Calf
• De’Anthony Melton (Questionable) Calf
• Tyrese Maxey (Questionable) Neck

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Miami is 42-37 overall. When taking to the road, Miami has a mark of 16-23 and a win percentage of 41%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 29-48-2 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Philadelphia, the Miami Heat have won 2 straight games and will look to push that mark to 3 in a row.

Most recently, the Heat took down the Pistons by a score of 118-105. Jimmy Butler finished with 27 points, which was the most on the team. Miami did not cover the spread as 14-point favorites.

Heading into the game, Philadelphia is 52-27 overall. When playing at home, Philadelphia has a mark of 29-11 and a win percentage of 72%. Currently, the team is 3rd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 45-33-1 vs the spread. In Philadelphia’s last 5 games, the 76ers have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 5-5 and 5-5 ATS.

The 76ers from Philadelphia triumphed in their last match against the Celtics, achieving a 103-101 victory. Joel Embiid had the most points for the 76ers with 52. Despite the win, the 76ers did not cover the spread as 4-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Heat picked up the win 101-99 win over the 76ers. Heading into the game, Miami was the 5.5-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far, the two teams have split their season series, with each team at 1-1. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Heat have an average scoring margin of +3 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. In these contests, they averaged a combined 205 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

Analysis

This season, Miami is averaging just 109.1 points per game, which places them 30th in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA at just 96.1 possessions per game. The Heat have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 27th in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 34.5 attempts per game. Defensively, the Heat have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.57 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.0%.

Heading into the game, Bam Adebayo is listed as questionable on the injury report. This season, he leads the team with a per-game scoring average of 20.7. Currently, Jimmy Butler is 2nd on the team in scoring at 22.9 points per game.

This season, the 76ers offense is averaging 114.9 points per game, which is 14th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Philadelphia has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 96.7 possessions per game. Philadelphia’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 38.7% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 32.7 3-point shots per game, placing them 16th in the NBA. Defensively, the 76ers have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.33 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.56%.

Heading into this matchup, Philadelphia is in jeopardy of not having Tyrese Maxey in the lineup as he is questionable. This season, he is the team’s second-leading scorer at 20.3 points per game. So far, Joel Embiid leads the team in scoring and is averaging 33.3 points per contest.

Betting Trends

• The Heat are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.
• The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• The 76ers are 24-11 ATS in their last 35 home games.
• The 76ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

With the Sixers locked into a 3-seed, there’s no real motivation to play starters. I love the Heat as a +4 underdog! Bet your NBA predictions for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 when you use bonus code PREDICTEM at Betnow Sportsbook!