Mavericks vs. Suns Betting Odds, Trends, Prediction

by | Last updated Jan 26, 2023 | nba

Dallas Mavericks (25-24 SU, 16-31-2 ATS) vs. Phoenix Suns (25-24 SU, 25-22-2 ATS)

When: Thursday, January 26th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Footprint Center, AZ, Phoenix

TV: TNT

Point Spread: Dal +1.5/Pho -1.5 (Bet it for FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus!)

Total: 222.5

Money Line: Dallas Mavericks +101/-121

Notable Injuries

Mavericks

  • Christian Wood (Out) Thumb
  • Maxi Kleber (Out) Hamstring

Suns

  • Jae Crowder (Out) Not Injury Related
  • Cameron Payne (Out) Foot
  • Devin Booker (Out) Groin
  • Deandre Ayton (Probable) Illness
  • Landry Shamet (Out) Foot

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Dallas is 25-24 overall. When taking to the road, Dallas has a mark of 8-15 and a win percentage of 35%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 16-31-2 vs. the spread. Dallas travels to take on the Suns, hoping to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

In their most recent matchup, the Wizards defeated Dallas with a score of 127-126. Luka Doncic scored the most points for the team with 41, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Mavericks were 7 points ahead going into the game.

Heading into the game, Phoenix is 25-24 overall. When playing at home, Phoenix has a mark of 18-7 and a win percentage of 72%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 25-22-2 vs. the spread. Phoenix will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Dallas as they are the winners of 4 straight games.

In their preceding game, the Suns overpowered the Hornets, earning a 128-97 win as 7-point favorites. Cameron Johnson led the way for the Suns, putting up 24 points on 81.8% shooting. The Suns not only secured the victory but also covered the spread.

The Historicals

In the most recent game between the two teams, the Suns picked up a 107-105 win over the Mavericks. However, heading into the game, Phoenix was favored to win by 4.0 points, giving the Mavericks an ATS victory. So far, the two teams have split their season series, with each team at 1-1. The Mavericks have had the better record vs. the spread over the last five games, going 4-1. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 10 points per game. In these contests, they averaged a combined 210 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

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Analysis

This season, Dallas is averaging just 112.9 points per game, which places them 21st in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA at just 96.7 possessions per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Dallas’ offensive game plan, as they are ranked 3rd in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 36.1% of their looks from the outside. Defensively, the Mavericks have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.7 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.9%.

Coming into today’s game, Luka Doncic is the leading scorer for Dallas at 33.8 points per game. This season, Doncic has a field goal percentage of 49.8%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Spencer Dinwiddie, at 16.9 points per contest.

This season, the Suns’ offense averages 113.0 points per game, which is 19th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Phoenix has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 98.0 possessions per game. Phoenix’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 38.8% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 33.5 3-point shots per game, placing them 13th in the NBA. Defensively, the Suns have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.3 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.88%.

Heading into today’s game, Phoenix will need a strong offensive effort from Mikal Bridges and the team’s supporting cast as Devin Booker won’t be available vs. Dallas. So far, Booker is averaging 27.1 points per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks are 10-25-2 ATS in their last 37 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • The Mavericks are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games.
  • The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last four games playing on one day of rest.
  • The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Mavs aren’t playing well right now, but that is likely to change Thursday night in Phoenix as the Suns just don’t match up well against Doncic. I’m betting Dallas at +1.5! Bet your NBA predictions for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you use promo code PREDICTEM at Betnow Sportsbook!