Mavericks at Cavaliers: NBA Odds, Betting Tips, and ATS Pick

Dallas Mavericks (26-23 SU, 23-24 ATS) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (39-9 SU, 32-16 ATS)

When: Sunday, February 2nd, 3:30 PM (ET)

Where: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, OH, Cleveland

TV: KFAA

Point Spread: Dal +13/Cle -13

Total: 237

Money Line: Dallas Mavericks +525/-753

Notable Injuries

Mavericks

• Anthony Davis (Out) Abdomen
• Dwight Powell (Out) Hip
• Kyrie Irving (Questionable) Right Shoulder
• P.J. Washington (Questionable) Knee
• Daniel Gafford (Questionable) Ankle
• Max Christie (Questionable) Trade Pending
• Dereck Lively II (Out) Ankle

Cavaliers

• Caris LeVert (Questionable) Wrist
• Dean Wade (Out) Knee
• Isaac Okoro (Out) Shoulder
• Craig Porter Jr. (Questionable) Illness

In a non-conference matchup, the Dallas Mavericks (26-23) travel to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers (39-9) at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 ET and can be seen on KFAA.

As of now, the Cavaliers are favored by 13 points and have a moneyline of -753. The over/under line is set at 237. Cleveland is currently on a three-game win streak and is first in the Eastern Conference. Meanwhile, the Mavericks are 8th in the Western Conference and have a record of 26-23.

Recent Form

The Mavericks fell to 26-23 on the season after a 117-102 road loss to the Pistons on Friday. Dallas entered the game as 1-point favorites but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 219, falling short of the 229-point O/U line.

Dallas started strong with a 10-0 run, taking the lead early, but Detroit outscored them 34-26 in the 2nd quarter. The Pistons extended their lead to 93-85 by the end of the 3rd, and the Mavericks struggled in the 4th, scoring just 17 points while allowing 24.

The Cavaliers improved to 39-9 on the season with a 137-115 win over the Hawks on Thursday. Cleveland was favored by 11.5 points and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 252 points went over the line of 241.

A key moment came when Cleveland went on a 10-0 run, extending their lead from 82-70 to 92-70. They dominated the 3rd quarter, outscoring Atlanta 39-21, and took a 110-84 lead into the 4th quarter.

The Historicals

In terms of betting, Cleveland has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous five matchups vs Dallas. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +6 points per game in favor of the Cavaliers. Dallas and Cleveland averaged a combined 222 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

The Mavericks struggled offensively in their 117-102 loss to the Pistons, shooting just 42.5% from the field and hitting 11 threes at a 33.3% clip. Kyrie Irving led Dallas with 28 points, scoring 14 in the 3rd quarter, but shot only 39.1% overall and 30% from deep.

P.J. Washington contributed 22 points and 13 rebounds, connecting on four threes at 66.7%. Daniel Gafford added 16 points, shooting 75% from the floor, while Klay Thompson scored 10 of his 13 points in the 1st quarter.

Defensively, the Mavericks struggled in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, giving up 34 and 31 points, respectively, in their 117-102 loss to the Pistons. They did manage to tighten things up in the 4th, allowing just 24 points. Overall, Dallas held Detroit to 44% shooting from the field.

The Mavericks excelled in defending the three, limiting the Pistons to just nine made threes on 25% shooting. Dallas sent Detroit to the line 16 times, where they hit 14 free throws. The Mavericks recorded four steals and 13 blocks in the game.

The Cavaliers shot 58.2% from the field in their 137-115 win over the Hawks, with Darius Garland leading the way at 26 points and seven assists. Donovan Mitchell added 24 points, scoring 12 in the 3rd quarter, while Ty Jerome contributed 20 points, shooting 81.8% from the floor.

Cleveland connected on 13 three-pointers at a 33.3% rate, with Mitchell hitting four threes at 40%. Jaylon Tyson scored 8 of his 15 points in the 4th quarter, and Max Strus added 8 of his 11 points in the final period.

Even with some defensive struggles in the 2nd and 4th quarters, the Cavaliers held the Hawks to 115 points on 45% shooting in their win on Thursday. Cleveland limited Atlanta’s three-point shooting, allowing just 13 threes on 33% shooting.

The Cavaliers sent the Hawks to the line 27 times, where they made 20 free throws. Cleveland also grabbed 39 defensive rebounds, gave up 10 offensive boards, and added nine steals and three blocks.

Betting Trends

• In their last three games away from home, the Mavericks have a straight-up record of 2-1 while going 1-1-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 120 points per game in these contests.
• In their last three games at home, the Cavaliers have a straight-up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 121 points per game in these contests.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
• Cleveland has done well both straight up and vs. the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

This Dallas vs Cleveland game will have a lot of attention surrounding it due to the fallout of the big trade yesterday, as the Mavs shipped Luka Doncic to the Lakers for Anthony Davis. Kyrie Irving is currently questionable, and Dallas is +13 point underdogs. Even if Irving is able to play, I still think Cleveland runs all over the Mavericks in this one. I like the Cavs at -13.