Magic vs. Raptors: Against the Spread Prediction & Analysis

Orlando Magic (23-21 SU, 23-21 ATS) vs. Toronto Raptors (10-32 SU, 23-18 ATS)

When: Tuesday, January 21st, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Scotiabank Arena, ON, Toronto

TV: SN

Point Spread: Orl -2/Tor +2 (Bet it for free with one of our 100% sportsbook bonuses!)

Total: 215

Money Line: Orlando Magic -132/+111

Notable Injuries

Magic

• Gary Harris (Questionable) Hamstring
• Moritz Wagner (Out) Knee
• Goga Bitadze (Out) Concussion
• Franz Wagner (Out) Conditioning
• Jalen Suggs (Out) Lower Back
• Jett Howard (Questionable) Ankle

Raptors

• Chris Boucher (Questionable) Illness
• Immanuel Quickley (Out) Hip
• Ochai Agbaji (Out) Hand

At 7:30 ET, the Orlando Magic (-132) will take on the Toronto Raptors (+111) at Scotiabank Arena. The Magic are currently favored by 2 points, and the over/under line is set at 215.

Orlando is 7th in the Eastern Conference with a 23-21 record, while the Raptors are 14th in the East at 10-32. The Magic have lost three straight games and are 2nd in the Southeast Division, while the Raptors are 5th in the Atlantic Division.

Recent Form

Orlando fell to 23-21 on the season after a 113-100 home loss to Denver on Sunday. The Magic were +7.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread, losing by 13. The total points for the game were 213, falling short of the 221.5 O/U line.

Orlando led 29-28 after the 1st quarter, but Denver took control by outscoring them 26-23 in the 2nd and 39-25 in the 3rd. A 14-0 run by the Nuggets extended their lead from 85-77 to 99-77, and Orlando couldn’t recover despite outscoring Denver 23-20 in the 4th quarter.

The Raptors fell to 10-32 on the season after a 130-112 loss to the Bucks on Friday. Toronto, who entered the game as +11 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread, losing by 18 points. The total score of 242 points exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 233.5 by 8.5 points.

Toronto got off to a rough start, trailing 37-22 after the 1st quarter. They played the Bucks evenly in the 2nd and 3rd quarters but couldn’t close the gap, as Milwaukee went on a 10-0 run to extend their lead from 107-88 to 117-88.

The Historicals

Across the previous five meetings between the teams, the Magic have an average scoring margin of +8 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 4-1. A combined average of 218 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

In their 113-100 loss to the Nuggets, the Magic shot just 37.3% from the field, with a three-point percentage of 29.3%. Wendell Carter Jr. led Orlando with 16 points and 13 rebounds, scoring 9 points in the 1st quarter and adding four more in the 3rd.

Anthony Black contributed 14 points, 8 of which came in the 4th quarter. Tristan Da Silva added 12 points, hitting two threes at 33.3% efficiency, while also scoring 5 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters.

Despite a strong defensive effort in the 4th quarter, where they held the Nuggets to 20 points, the Magic couldn’t overcome a rough 3rd quarter, giving up 39 points in a 113-100 loss. Orlando did a solid job defending the perimeter, limiting Denver to just 7 made threes on 28% shooting.

The Magic sent the Nuggets to the line 31 times, where they converted 26 free throws. On the boards, Orlando allowed 13 offensive rebounds but managed to come up with 15 steals and six blocks.

In their 130-112 loss to the Bucks, the Raptors struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just eight threes at a 23.5% rate. Overall, they shot 47.3% from the field.

RJ Barrett led Toronto with 21 points and 10 assists, scoring 10 points in the 2nd quarter. Kelly Olynyk added 10 of his 15 points in the 3rd.

The Raptors struggled defensively against the Bucks, giving up 130 points on Friday. They allowed 37 points in the 1st quarter and 35 in both the 2nd and 3rd, though they tightened up in the 4th, holding Milwaukee to 23 points. Overall, the Bucks shot 51% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Bucks hit 13 threes at a 41% clip. Toronto also sent Milwaukee to the free-throw line 41 times, where they converted 33. The Raptors gave up 11 offensive rebounds while recording six steals and four blocks.

Betting Trends

• Through their last ten road contests, the Magic offense has averaged 100 points per game while allowing an average of 107. Orlando posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 4-6 ATS.
• Although Toronto has a straight-up record of 0-3 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 117 points per game in these games.
• Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Toronto has an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 2-8 straight up.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Magic have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

With their lengthy list of injuries, the Magic are only favored by -2 on the road vs the Raptors. But I think this team plays too hard to let these injuries impact them that much vs a bad Raptors team. I’m going with the Magic at -2 in this one.

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