Lakers vs. Warriors Game 5 Best Bet

by | Last updated May 10, 2023 | nba

Los Angeles Lakers (43-39 SU, 47-43-3 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (44-38 SU, 43-49-1 ATS)

When: Wednesday, May 10th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: TNT

Point Spread: LAL +7/GS -7 (Most bookies make you lay -110 odds on games. You only have to lay -105 at BetAnySports! Why pay more?)

Total: 226

Money Line: Los Angeles Lakers +247/-306

Notable Injuries

Lakers

  • Anthony Davis (Probable) Foot
  • LeBron James (Probable) Foot
  • Mo Bamba (Questionable) Ankle

Warriors

  • Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
  • Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Questionable) Toe
  • Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Los Angeles is 43-39 overall. When taking to the road, Los Angeles has a mark of 20-21 and a win percentage of 49%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 47-43-3 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Golden State, the Los Angeles Lakers have won 2 straight games and will look to push that mark to 3 in a row.

In their previous game, the Los Angeles team emerged victorious against the Warriors, winning by a margin of 2 points as predicted. LeBron James shone for the Lakers, scoring 27 points on a shooting percentage of 40.0%. The Lakers not only won the game but also successfully covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Golden State is 44-38 overall. When playing at home, Golden State has a mark of 33-8 and a win percentage of 80%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 43-49-1 vs. the spread. The Warriors need a win in today’s matchup vs Los Angeles to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

In their most recent matchup, the Lakers defeated Golden State with a score of 104-101. Stephen Curry scored the most points for the team with 31, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Warriors were 2 points ahead going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Lakers picked up the 104-101 win over the Warriors. The Lakers’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 2.5 point favorite. So far this season, the Lakers have a record of 6-2 vs the Warriors. The Lakers have had the better record vs. the spread over the last 5 games, going 4-1. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 4 points per game. The over-under record in these same games is 2-3, with the teams combining for an average of 220 points per game.

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Analysis

This season, Los Angeles is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.2 points per game. So far, the Lakers are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.8 possessions per game. Los Angeles has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 34th in 3-point shooting percentage at 34.6%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.2 attempts per contest. Defense has been a struggle for Los Angeles, as they are currently allowing 115.15 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.38% of their looks from deep, placing the Lakers 18th in the NBA.

LeBron James is the top scorer for the Lakers, with an average of 28.9 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 50.0%. Anthony Davis is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 25.9 points per game.

This season, Golden State is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 118.9 points per game. So far, the Warriors are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.7 possessions per game. The Warriors have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 4th in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 43.2 attempts per game. Defensively, the Warriors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.46 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.92%.

Jordan Poole has a per-game average of 20.4 on a field goal percentage is 43.0%, while Stephen Curry leads the team with an average of 29.4 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • The Lakers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Conference Semifinals games.
  • The Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • The Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Lakers can close out the series with a win Wednesday night. I’m not sure they’ll get the win, but I like them to cover the +7. Question: Do you live bet games? If so, do yourself a favor and take a minute to check out the awesome live wagering platform at Bovada Sportsbook. All sports are listed on one page, transactions are seemless (unlike most clunky books software) and they offer good sized limits (unlike most other bookies). They also offer TONS of prop bets and a 50% real cash bonus! It’s where we bet! Click here to start betting with a better sportsbook!