Lakers vs. Warriors Game 1 Spread Pick

Los Angeles Lakers (43-39 SU, 44-42-3 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (44-38 SU, 42-46-1 ATS)

When: Tuesday, May 2nd, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: TNT

Point Spread: LAL +5/GS -5 (It’s a great day to stop wasting money laying -110 odds and start laying only -105 at BAS Sportsbook! It’s what the pros do!)

Total: 227.5

Money Line: Los Angeles Lakers +158/-193

Notable Injuries

Lakers

• Anthony Davis (Probable) Foot
• LeBron James (Probable) Foot
• Mo Bamba (Questionable) Ankle

Warriors

• Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
• Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Questionable) Toe
• Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Los Angeles is 43-39 overall. When taking to the road, Los Angeles has a mark of 20-21 and a win percentage of 49%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 44-42-3 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 3-2 in their past 5 games and 3-2 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATS.

In their preceding game, the Lakers overpowered the Grizzlies, earning a 125-85 win as 5-point favorites. D’Angelo Russell led the way for the Lakers, putting up 31 points on 70.6% shooting. The Lakers not only secured the victory but also covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Golden State is 44-38 overall. When playing at home, Golden State has a mark of 33-8 and a win percentage of 80%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 42-46-1 vs. the spread. In Golden State’s last 5 games, the Warriors have a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 3-2 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 7-3 and 6-4 ATS.

Golden State will be looking to build on their most recent win over the Kings. Stephen Curry led the team to a win with his 50 points. The Warriors were 1 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS win.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Lakers picked up the win 113-105 win over the Warriors. Heading into the game, Los Angeles was the 5.0-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far this season, the Lakers have a record of 3-1 vs the Warriors. Through the last 5 matchups between the teams, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 3-2. But, looking at the scoring margin in these games, an average of just 1 point per game separates the teams. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 2-3. Combined, they averaged 227 points in these games.

Analysis

This season, Los Angeles is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.2 points per game. So far, the Lakers are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.8 possessions per game. Los Angeles’ 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 34.6% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 31.2 3-point shots per game, placing them 19th in the NBA. Defense has been a struggle for Los Angeles, as they are currently allowing 115.15 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.38% of their looks from deep, placing the Lakers 18th in the NBA.

Coming into today’s game, LeBron James is the leading scorer for Los Angeles at 28.9 points per game. This season, James has a field goal percentage of 50.0%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Anthony Davis at 25.9 points per contest.

This season, Golden State is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 118.9 points per game. So far, the Warriors are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.7 possessions per game. The Warriors have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 5th in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 43.2 attempts per game. Defensively, the Warriors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.46 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.92%.

Jordan Poole is the top scorer for the Warriors, with an average of 20.4 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 43.0%. Stephen Curry is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 29.4 points per game.

Betting Trends

• The Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
• The Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• The Warriors are 40-18-1 ATS in their last 59 home games.
• The Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Conference Semifinals games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Lakers look as solid as any pick as we’ve seen in the playoffs so far. They’ve beaten G.S. three times in a row and haven’t allowed more than 41.7% from the field in any of those games. Furthermore, teams off a Game 7 win don’t tend to perform well on a quick turnaround in Game 1. I’m betting L.A. +4.5!  Note: Predictem needs your help! We desperately need to send some players to Bovada Sportsbook to keep our ad deal with them. They’re ultimately what keeps our site free to our users. They’re a GREAT book! Easy depositing, big 50% real cash bonus, best live wagering platform on the web where you can see all games on the same page, nice limits and non-clunky software and tons of games. They also have a rebate program where you get money back everytime you bet. If you’re looking for a better sportsbook, a nice bonus up (up to $250) or would consider helping us, they’re a great option! They pay fast too! Thank you for your consideration! Click here to check them out! Thanks!