Lakers vs. Spurs Analysis & Point Spread Pick

by | Last updated Nov 25, 2022 | nba

Los Angeles Lakers (5-11 SU, 8-7-1 ATS) vs. San Antonio Spurs (6-13 SU, 9-10-0 ATS)

When: Friday, November 25th, 8:00 PM (ET)

Where: AT&T Center, TX, San Antonio

TV: KENS

Point Spread: LAL -5.5/ SA +5.5 (BAS – Stop wasting your hard earned money! Stop betting on games at -110 odds! Start laying only -105 here!)

Total: 229.0

Money Line: Los Angeles Lakers -198/ +164

Notable Injuries

Lakers

  • Anthony Davis (Probable) Back
  • Patrick Beverley (Out) Suspension
  • LeBron James (Questionable) Adductor
  • Juan Toscano-Anderson (Probable) Back

Spurs

  • Doug McDermott (Questionable) Ankle
  • Josh Richardson (Doubtful) Ankle
  • Zach Collins (Questionable) Heel
  • Blake Wesley (Out) Knee
  • Jordan Hall (Questionable) Finger

Recent Form

Heading into the game, the Lakers are 5-11 overall. When taking to the road, Los Angeles has a mark of 0-6. Currently, the team is 14th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 8-7-1 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight up vs. the spread, they are 3-2 in their past five games and 3-1-1 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 4-6 SU and 4-5-1 ATS.

Los Angeles will be looking for a bounce-back performance in today’s game. In the Lakers’ most recent matchup, they lost to the Suns by a score of 115-105. Anthony Davis finished with a team-high 37 points. Given that they were 10-point underdogs, the teams each added an ATS push to their resume.

Heading into the game, San Antonio is 5-11 overall. When playing at home, San Antonio has a mark of 3-6 and a win percentage of 33.0%. Currently, the team is 13th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 9-10-0 vs. the spread. The Spurs need a win in today’s matchup vs. Los Angeles to avoid their 7th straight loss.

The Historicals

Earlier this year, the Lakes picked up a 123-92 win over the Spurs at home. In the game, Los Angeles was favored to win by 6 points and easily covered the spread. With the Spurs’ low point total, the game finished below the over-under line of 228.5.

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Analysis

This season, the Spurs are the 19th-ranked scoring team in the NBA at 110.7 points per game. However, they have been bad on the defensive end of the court, ranking 28th in the league. So far, teams have scored an average of 115 points per game vs. the team. Coming into the game, Lebron James is questionable on the injury report. Currently, he is 2nd on the team at 24.9 points per game. Anthony Davis leads Los Angeles with a per game average of 26.4 points per game, good for 12th in the NBA.

San Antonio heads into today’s game averaging 110 points per game, which is below the NBA average. So far, the team has been playing at a face pace but is struggling on offense due to an effective field goal percentage of just 53%. Keldon Johnson is the team’s top offensive weapon at 20.35 points per game. Devin Vassell is also a key contributor to San Antonio’s offensive attack, also averaging over 20 points a night. On the other end of the floor, they are the 23rd-ranked defensive unit.

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Betting Trends

  • Lakers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
  • Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Spurs are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games playing on one day’s rest.
  • Spurs are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Anthony Davis is playing at an extremely high level and is a monster matchup problem for the Spurs. I like the Lakers to win and cover even if Lebron sits! Bet your NBA predictions for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus up to $300 when you use bonus promo code PREDICTEM at MyBookie Sportsbook!