Lakers vs. Grizzlies Predictions & Analysis 2/28/23

Los Angeles Lakers (29-32 SU, 29-29-3 ATS) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (36-23 SU, 27-30-2 ATS)

When: Tuesday, February 28th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: FedExForum, TN, Memphis

TV: TNT

Point Spread: LAL +8.5/Mem -8.5 (Bet it free by using one of our 100% (or more!) sportsbook bonus codes!)

Total: 233.5

Money Line: Los Angeles Lakers +291/-370

Notable Injuries

Lakers

• Anthony Davis (Probable) Foot
• LeBron James (Out) Foot
• D’Angelo Russell (Doubtful) Ankle

Grizzlies

• Steven Adams (Out) Knee

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Los Angeles is 29-32 overall. When taking to the road, Los Angeles has a mark of 14-18 and a win percentage of 44%. Currently, the team is 12th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 29-29-3 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Memphis, the Los Angeles Lakers have won 3 straight games and will look to push that mark to 4 in a row.

Los Angeles will be looking to build on their most recent win over the Mavericks. Anthony Davis led the team to a win with his 30 points. The Lakers were 4-point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS win.

Heading into the game, Memphis is 36-23 overall. When playing at home, Memphis has a mark of 25-5 and a win percentage of 83%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 27-30-2 vs. the spread. In Memphis’ last five games, the Grizzlies have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 5-5 and 4-6 ATS.

In their last game, Memphis defeated the Nuggets (112-94) as 3-point favorites. Ja Morant led the team with 23 points on 50.0% shooting. The Grizzlies also covered the spread with the victory.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Lakers picked up the win 122-121 win over the Grizzlies. Heading into the game, Los Angeles was the 6.5-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. The ATS record across the previous five head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Grizzlies. In these matchups, Memphis has averaged 115 points per game while allowing 111. A combined average of 226 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

This season, Los Angeles is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.0 points per game. So far, the Lakers are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 102.5 possessions per game. Los Angeles has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 26th in 3-point shooting percentage at 33.7%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.0 attempts per contest. The defense has been a soft spot for Los Angeles, as they currently allow 115.15 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.38% of their looks from deep, placing the Lakers 18th in the NBA.

If you’re thinking about betting on today’s game, be sure to take the injury situation for Los Angeles into account. It’s likely that LeBron James and D’Angelo Russell will not be playing, and they are the team’s top two scorers. This year, James has been averaging 29.5 points per game, and Russell has been averaging 17.6 points per game.

This season, Memphis is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 115.9 points per game. So far, the Grizzlies are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.1 possessions per game. Memphis’ 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 34.3% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 32.9 3-point shots per game, placing them 16th in the NBA. Defensively, the Grizzlies have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 109.93 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.88%.

Ja Morant is the top scorer for Memphis, averaging 27.0 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 46.3%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Dillon Brooks, with an average of 14.6 points per game.

Betting Trends

• The Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning record.
• The Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
• The Grizzlies are 39-17-1 ATS in their last 57 home games.
• The Grizzlies are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Lakers have been playing good ball and have enough horses in the stable to keep the game within eight points. I’m betting on Tinsel Town Tuesday night, plus the points! Note: Do yourself a favor and learn the benefits of betting at reduced juice! It’s FREE!