Knicks vs. Jazz Odds, Analysis, Value Pick 11/15/22

New York Knicks (6-7 SU, 6-7-0 ATS) vs. Utah Jazz (10-5 SU, 10-4-1 ATS)

When: Tuesday, November 15th, 9:00 PM (ET)

Where: Vivint Smart Home Arena, UT, Salt Lake City

TV: SN-RM

Point Spread: NY +4.5/ UTA -4.5 (Bovada – 50% bonus! Rebates on ALL your bets; win or lose! The most prop bets on the web! Best wagering platform! Why bet anywhere else?)

Total: 231.5

Money Line: New York Knicks +151/ -183

Notable Injuries

Knicks

• Mitchell Robinson (Out) Knee

Jazz

Recent Form

So far, the Knicks have put together an overall record of 6-7, while going 6-7-0 vs the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 1-2 straight-up and 0-3 vs the spread.

In their previous game, the Knicks were favored to win vs the Thunder. However, their 145-135 loss gave them both a straight-up and ATS loss. New York was not able to turn things around in the 2nd half, as they trailed the Thunder by 10 going into halftime. In the loss, Cam Reddish led the team in scoring with 26 points on a field goal percentage of 58.8%.

The Jazz come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 10-5. So far, the team has gone 10-4-1 against the spread. The Jazz head into today’s action in the midst of a 2 game losing streak. Their average scoring differential in these defeats is -8.0.

Not only did the Jazz drop their last game to the 76ers. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 105-98 as 4-point underdogs. Utah let an opportunity for a win slip home as they held a lead going into the 2nd half of action. In the loss, Malik Beasley led the team in scoring with 18 points on a field goal percentage of 46.2%.

The Historicals

The Jazz are coming off a season in which they defeated New York in both of their games, winning by scores of 113-104 and 104-93. Last year, the Knicks saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Jazz, averaging 98.5 points per game. While the Knicks struggled on offense in the series, the Jazz maintained their usual level of scoring at 110.5 vs New York. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Jazz have an average scoring margin of +7 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. A combined average of 209 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 0-5.

Analysis

For the season, the New York offense is the 12th-ranked unit in the NBA, at 114.7 points per contest. Coming into today’s game, the Knicks will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.5 made 3’s per game. If the New York offense is going to turn things around, not only do they need to improve their outside shooting but they must do a better job protecting the ball. Currently, they are averaging 14.2 turnovers per game.

So far, the Knicks have played well defensively, as they are ranked 6th in the league at 106.6 points per contest.

Power-Foward Julius Randle currently leads the Knicks at 20.85 points per game. For the season, he is 68th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 16.3% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Randle is averaging 9.08 boards and 3.38 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 21st-ranked defense at defending power-fowards. Jalen Brunson enters the game, sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 13 games, he is averaging 19.54 and is 52nd in the league in player efficiency rating.

Through 15 games, Utah is the 5th best scoring team at 116.9 points per game. In terms of pace, the Jazz are on the top units in the NBA, averaging 101.1 possessions per game. So far, the team has been able to rank well on offense, even though their up-tempo style of play has not translated into inside scoring. Currently, Utah is just 17th in 2-point field goal makes per game.

Against the Knicks, the Jazz will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 10th-ranked unit at 107.57 points per game.

This season, the Knicks offense has primarily worked through Lauri Markkanen and Jordan Clarkson, who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 15 games, Markkanen is 30th in the NBA at 21.8 points per game. So far, him and Clarkson have accounted for 33.5% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 39.93 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Jordan Clarkson is grabbing 4.27 rebounds for New York to go along with 4.73 assists.

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Betting Trends

• Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Jazz are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

NBA basketball is notorious for being a game of streaks and runs. The Utah Jazz needle is starting to even out or even point down a bit. The New York Knicks arrow is pointing up. I’m super stoked to be getting +4.5 with the Knicks Tuesday, as they matchup very well with the Jazz! I’m betting the NYK +4.5 with confidence! Bankroll busted? Fix that problem with less pain by taking advantage of a 100% bonus from one of the top tier bookies on our sportsbook bonuses page!