Knicks vs Bucks: Crunching Numbers for Your Next ATS Win

New York Knicks (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS)

When: Friday, November 3rd, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Fiserv Forum, WI, Milwaukee

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: NY +6.5/Mil -6.5

Total: 227.5

Money Line: New York Knicks +217/-272

Notable Injuries

Knicks

• RJ Barrett (Questionable) Knee

Bucks

• Andre Jackson Jr. (Questionable) Hip

Recent Form

A win over the Bucks would level the Knicks’ record at .500, given their current overall season record of 2-3. On away games, the Knicks have achieved a 2-1 record this season, while at home, they have struggled with a 0-2 mark.

In their upcoming matchup against the Knicks, the Bucks aim to achieve a winning record, currently standing at 2-2. On away games, the Bucks have a 0-1 record this season while boasting a 2-1 record on their home court.

The Historicals

Over the last five head-to-head meetings, the Bucks have averaged 114 points per game compared to 104 for New York. This has led to an ATS record of 4-0-1 for Milwaukee. The over-under record in these same games is 2-3, with the teams combining for an average of 218 points per game.

Analysis

The Knicks offense is coming into the game and is characterized by their field goal percentage, free throw attempts per game, and points per game this season (2023-2024). They rank 30th in the NBA in field goal percentage, 6th in free throw attempts per game, and 18th in points per game.

New York’s defense comes into the game ranking 8th in the NBA for allowing 23.7 free throw attempts per game. Additionally, they rank 10th in the league for allowing a field goal percentage of 46.4 and 2nd for allowing 113.1 points per game.

The Bucks offense is coming into the game with impressive statistics in the 2023-2024 season. They rank 7th in free throw attempts per game with 31.0, 25th in possessions per game with 100.6, and 26th in points per game with 115.2.

On defense, the Bucks are ranked 28th in the NBA for opponents’ three-point shooting percentage at 35.1%. They are ranked 12th in the league for average free throw attempts allowed per game at 21. Milwaukee also ranks 28th in the NBA for average points allowed per game at 113.3.

Betting Trends

• Across their ten previous road games, New York has an ATS mark of 5-4-1. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 100 points per game.
• Through their last ten home games, Milwaukee has an ATS record of just 2-7-1. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 121 points per game.
• In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Knicks have a straight-up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
• Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Bucks have a straight up record of 4-6. But their mark vs the spread was just 3-7.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

So far this season, the addition of Damian Lillard has led to up-and-down results. The early indication is that the pairing of Giannis and Dame is going to take some time before they are on the same page. Even though I see Milwaukee winning this one, I expect it to come right down the buzzer and, like New York, +6.5.