Kings vs. Warriors Pick & Predictions for Jan 25

Sacramento Kings (24-18 SU, 23-19 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (19-22 SU, 19-21 ATS)

When: Thursday, January 25th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: TNT

Point Spread: Sac -1.5/GS +1.5

Total: 240.5

Money Line: Sacramento Kings -124/+103

Notable Injuries

Kings

• Sasha Vezenkov (Out) Ankle

Warriors

• Chris Paul (Out) Hand
• Gary Payton II (Out) Hamstring
• Moses Moody (Out) Calf

At 10:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (-124) will take on the Golden State Warriors (+103) in a Western Pacific divisional matchup. Sacramento is currently favored by 1.5 points, and the over/under line for this game is set at 240.5.

This game will be played in San Francisco at the Chase Center, and it can be seen on TNT. The Kings are 7th in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Pacific Division, while the Warriors are 12th in the West and 5th in the Pacific.

Recent Form

Sacramento is favored by 1.5 points in today’s game vs. the Warriors. This season, the Kings have been favored in 32 of their 42 games and have a record of 20-12 as the favorite.

The Kings are 23-19 against the spread this season, including a 13-7 record on the road. They have covered the spread in their last two road games and have an average scoring differential of +0.8 points per game on the road.

In the Western Conference, the Kings are currently in 7th place with a record of 24-18. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 15-13 compared to 9-5 against the East.

Sacramento’s O/U record for the season is 20-21-1, and their games have averaged 236 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 240.5 is slightly higher than their season average of 236.3.

In their last game, the Kings beat the Hawks by a score of 122-107. The O/U line for that game was 238 points, and Sacramento covered the spread as 8.5-point favorites.

Golden State’s ATS record for the season is 19-21, including a 8-14 record at home and 11-7 record on the road. As the underdog, they are 11-5 ATS on the road and 8-16 ATS overall.

The Warriors have covered the spread in their last two games as the underdog and are 4-13 straight-up as the underdog this season. Today, they are getting 1.5 points against the Kings.

In their win over the Hawks, the Warriors were favored by 6 points and won by a score of 134-112. The O/U line for that game was 235 points.

This season, the Warriors have an O/U record of 24-16-1, and their games have averaged 235.6 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 240.5 points.

Golden State is currently 12th in the Western Conference with a record of 19-22. In the Pacific Division, they are in 5th place. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 11-17 and 8-5 in non-conference games.

The Historicals

Spanning across the last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Kings and Warriors have been competitive, with an average margin of victory sitting at just -2 points per game. This has resulted in a 3-2 ATS record for Golden State. A combined average of 224 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

Analysis

When it comes to scoring, the Kings are one of the top teams in the NBA. They are averaging 118.3 points per game, which is 7th in the league. However, their scoring has been slightly lower on the road at 115.0 points per game.

So far this season, the Kings have outscored the NBA scoring average in 66.7% of their games. They have also had two straight games where they have outscored their own scoring average.

In terms of pace, Sacramento is 9th in the NBA at 100.4 possessions per game. They are also one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, averaging 15 made threes per game (3rd).

Coming into today’s game, the Kings’ defense is giving up an average of 117.7 points per contest. The Kings defense is coming off a game in which they held the Hawks offense to just 46.2% shooting. Overall, they gave up 107 points to Atlanta.

At home, the Warriors are averaging 116.6 points per game, which is 14th in the NBA. Overall, they are 10th in the league in scoring at 117.6 points per game.

Golden State is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, making an average of 14.8 threes per game (4th). They are also 4th in three-point attempts at 39.7 per contest.

So far this season, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 56.1% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 12th in the league at 99.1 possessions per game.

Currently, the Warriors’ defense holds the 22nd rank in the NBA, allowing 118.0 points per game. Golden State struggled on the boards in their last game vs. the Hawks, giving up 11. For the game, Atlanta scored 112 points in the game.

Betting Trends

• Sacramento has a 0-3 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 117 points per game while allowing 124. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
• Golden State has a 2-3 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 119 points per game while allowing 122. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
• Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Warriors have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-1.
• Through their last three games as the favorite, the Kings have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Despite having lost 4 of their last 5 games, the Kings are still favored by -1.5 points vs. Golden State. On the other side, the Warriors are coming off a win vs. Atlanta and are just above .500 at home (12-11). I’m taking Steph Curry and the Warriors on the moneyline for this matchup.