Kings vs. Pistons Betting Preview: Odds, Spread & Expert Pick (April 7)

Sacramento Kings (38-40 SU, 34-43 ATS) vs. Detroit Pistons (43-35 SU, 41-35 ATS)

When: Monday, April 7th, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: Little Caesars Arena, MI, Detroit

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Sac +7.5/Det -7.5

Total: 230.5

Money Line: Sacramento Kings +244/-298

Notable Injuries

Kings

• Keegan Murray (Questionable) Back
• Jake LaRavia (Out) Thumb

Pistons

• Tobias Harris (Questionable) Achilles
• Jaden Ivey (Out) Fibula
• Jalen Duren (Questionable) Ankle

At 7:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (+244) will travel to take on the Detroit Pistons (-298) in a non-conference matchup. The Pistons are favored by 7.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 230.5.

Currently, the Kings are 9th in the Western Conference with a record of 38-40. They have won two straight games. As for the Pistons, they are 6th in the Eastern Conference at 43-35.

Recent Form

The Kings improved to 38-40 on the season with a 120-113 win over the Cavaliers on Sunday. Sacramento, who entered the game as +9.5 point underdogs, not only secured the win but also covered the spread. The total points for the game ended at 233, just under the 236.5 O/U line.

After the Cavs went on a 10-0 run to take the lead in the 2nd quarter, the Kings responded by dominating the 3rd quarter, outscoring Cleveland 35-22. Sacramento entered the 4th quarter with a 91-79 lead and held off a late push from the Cavs, who outscored them 34-29 in the final period.

Detroit’s Detroit’s record fell to 43-35 after a 109-103 loss to the Grizzlies on Saturday. The Pistons were favored by 1.5 points at home but failed to cover the spread. The game’sgame’s combined score of 212 points was well below the 238.5-point total line.

Detroit went on a 10-0 run to take the lead from 70-64 to 74-70, but they couldn’tcouldn’t hold on. Despite leading 77-75 going into the 4th quarter, the Pistons were outscored 34-26 in the final period.

The Historicals

Although the Pistons have the better ATS mark across the previous five head-head matchups at 3-2, the average scoring margin sits in favor of Sacramento, as they averaged 124 points per game while allowing 119. A combined average of 243 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 2-1-2.

Analysis

Zach LaVine’sLaVine’s 37 points and seven threes at 63.6% shooting from deep were key in the Kings’Kings’ 120-113 win over the Cavaliers. He shot 71.4% from the field, while the team as a whole hit 53.7% of their shots and 42.4% from three, making 14 threes overall.

Domantas Sabonis added 27 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists, shooting 73.3%, and DeMar DeRozan contributed 28 points and seven assists. LaVine scored 11 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters, while Sabonis put up 15 points in the opening period.

Despite giving up 113 points on 52% shooting, the Kings’Kings’ defense did enough to secure the win against the Cavaliers. They allowed 27 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 2nd but tightened up in the 3rd, giving up just 22 points before a 34-point 4th quarter.

Sacramento limited Cleveland’s three-point shooting, holding them to 10 made threes on 26% shooting. The Cavaliers went 11/19 from the free-throw line. The Kings finished with 31 defensive rebounds, allowing 13 offensive boards, and added 10 steals and three blocks.

The Pistons struggled offensively in their 109-103 loss to the Grizzlies, shooting just 38.5% from the field and 26.2% from three-point range. Cade Cunningham led the way with 25 points, nine rebounds, and four assists, hitting two threes at 33.3% efficiency.

Ausar Thompson contributed 18 points and 11 rebounds, shooting 77.8% from the floor. Isaiah Stewart added 16 points, eight rebounds, and 2 made threes at 50% efficiency.

The Pistons put together a solid defensive effort in the 2nd quarter, holding the Grizzlies to just 19 points, but a 34-point 4th quarter from Memphis proved costly in a 109-103 loss. Detroit limited the Grizzlies to 41% shooting from the field.

Detroit’s Detroit’s defense was strong from beyond the arc, as they held the Grizzlies to 28% shooting on threes, with Memphis making just 9. The Pistons also recorded nine steals and six blocks in the game.

Betting Trends

• In their last five road games, Sacramento has averaged 111 points per game while allowing 112. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
• When looking at their past ten home matchups, Detroit has an ATS record of 4-5-1 while averaging 116 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
• Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Kings have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
• Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Detroit has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 7-3 straight up.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

After dropping 3-straight, the Kings have picked up two wins in a row, including taking down the Cavaliers last night. However, given that they are playing on back-to-back nights, they are +7.5-point underdogs. As for Detroit, they just dropped their last game vs Memphis at home. Even with Sacramento playing on short rest, I see them hanging around tonight vs the Pistons. I’m taking the Kings +7.5.