Kings vs. Nets Odds, Analysis, Pick 3/16/23

Sacramento Kings (41-27 SU, 37-30-1 ATS) vs. Brooklyn Nets (39-30 SU, 37-31-1 ATS)

When: Thursday, March 16th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Barclays Center, NY, Brooklyn

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Sac +2.5/Bkn -2.5 (Cash in BIG with a 100% bonus!)

Total: 237.5

Money Line: Sacramento Kings +116/-139

Notable Injuries

Kings

• Richaun Holmes (Questionable) Illness

Nets

• Ben Simmons (Out) Back/Knee

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Sacramento is 41-27 overall. When taking to the road, Sacramento has a mark of 20-13 and a win percentage of 61%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 37-30-1 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 4-1 in their past 5 games and 4-1 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS.

In their last game, Sacramento defeated the Bulls (117-114) as 1-point favorites. De’Aaron Fox led the team with 32 points on 70.6% shooting. The Kings also covered the spread with the victory.

Heading into the game, Brooklyn is 39-30 overall. When playing at home, Brooklyn has a mark of 19-12 and a win percentage of 61%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 37-31-1 vs. the spread. In Brooklyn’s last 5 games, the Nets have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 4-1 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 5-5 and 7-3 ATS.

In their last game, Brooklyn was defeated by Thunder with a score of 121-107. Despite Mikal Bridges scoring 34 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Nets were 1-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Kings picked up the 153-121 win over the Nets. The Kings’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 1.5 point favorite. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. The level of competition has been tight in the 5 most recent games between the Kings and Nets, with an even point differential. Brooklyn has the ATS edge in this span at 3-2. Over the course of these games, they averaged 236 points per game, leading a 3-2 over-under record.

Analysis

This season, Sacramento is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 121.2 points per game. So far, the Kings are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.1 possessions per game. Sacramento’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 9th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.2%. Defense has been a struggle for Sacramento, as they are currently allowing 115.77 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 37.05% of their looks from the outside.

Going into today’s game, De’Aaron Fox is the leading scorer for the Sacramento team, with an average of 25.6 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 51.6%. The team’s second top scorer is Domantas Sabonis, who is averaging 19.0 points per game.

This year, the Brooklyn offense is not only near the NBA average in points at 113.8 points per game, but they are also playing at a pace similar to the league average. So far, the Nets are ranked 19th in possessions per contest. Brooklyn’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 38.3% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 33.4 3-point shots per game, placing them 15th in the NBA. On defense, the Nets are allowing an average of 112.12 points per game, placing them 18th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.46% of their looks from deep.

Mikal Bridges is the top scorer for Brooklyn, averaging 19.0 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 47.4%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Spencer Dinwiddie, with an average of 17.8 points per game.

More Picks: Denver at Detroit analysis & predictions 3/16/23

Betting Trends

• The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• The Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• The Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

I usually avoid (or even fade) teams playing the second game of a back-to-back with travel, however, the Sacramento Kings are absolutely balling out right now! It’s also the Nets’ first game back after a long road trip. I’m betting on the Kings plus the points! Bet your NBA predictions for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 when you use bonus promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!