Kings vs Clippers Pick: Expert Prediction for Dec 12

by | Last updated Dec 12, 2023 | nba

Sacramento Kings (13-8 SU, 12-9 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (12-10 SU, 9-13 ATS)

When: Tuesday, December 12th, 10:30 PM (ET)

Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Sac +4/LAC -4

Total: 232.5

Money Line: Sacramento Kings +144/-176

Notable Injuries

Kings

  • Alex Len (Out) Ankle

Clippers

  • Mason Plumlee (Out) Knee
  • Bones Hyland (Questionable) Shoulder
  • Moussa Diabate (Questionable) Hip

Recent Form

In today’s game against the Clippers, the Kings aim to continue their success with a record above .500, currently at 13-8. Currently, in the Western Conference, the team is ranked 5th, and they are 1st in the Pacific division.

Facing the Kings today, the Clippers look to maintain their record above .500, which currently stands at 12-10. Away from home, the Clippers have a 4-7 record this season while maintaining an 8-3 record in their home games.

The Historicals

Through the last five head-to-head matchups, neither team has gotten a leg up on the spread, each sitting at 2-2-1. In addition, the games have been competitive, with an average of just 2 points per game separating the teams. The over-under record in these same games is 3-2, with the teams combining for an average of 258 points per game.

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Analysis

In their latest game, Sacramento’s offense looked good, scoring 131 points against the Nets. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 51.1% and made 10/14 free throws. Offensively, the Kings hold a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, placing them 20th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 16th in terms of percentage and 3rd in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Kings’ defense is giving up an average of 116.8 points per contest.

The Sacramento defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.9% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 49.1% of their field goal attempts vs. Sacramento.

The Clippers’ offense is coming off a game where they scored 132 points against the Trail Blazers. They posted a field goal percentage of 55.1% and connected on 13 threes. So far, three-pointers haven’t been a huge part of Los Angeles’ offense, as they average just 32.4 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is 47% while averaging 97.8 possessions per contest.

So far this season, the Clippers defense has been performing well, ranking 6th in the NBA at 109.8 points allowed per contest.

On two-point field goal attempts, the Clippers’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 51.9% and allowing 35.1% from beyond the arc.

Betting Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Sacramento has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 111 points per game.
  • In their last five home games, Los Angeles has averaged 119 points per game while allowing 108. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Kings have a straight-up record of 5-5 and an ATS mark of 7-3.
  • As the betting favorite, the Clippers have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight-up record was 3-0.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Both the Clippers and Kings played last night, with each team picking up wins. Despite being favored by four at home, I see the Clippers’ four-game winning streak coming to an end. My bet is to take the Kings as the underdog on the money line.