Indiana Pacers vs. Sacramento Kings Odds, Analysis, Free Pick

Indiana Pacers (23-17 SU, 23-17 ATS) vs. Sacramento Kings (23-17 SU, 22-18 ATS)

When: Thursday, January 18th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Golden 1 Center, CA, Sacramento

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Ind +7.5/Sac -7.5

Total: 246

Money Line: Indiana Pacers +246/-312

Notable Injuries

Pacers

• Pascal Siakam (Doubtful) Trade Pending
• Obi Toppin (Questionable) Calf
• Tyrese Haliburton (Questionable) Hamstring
• Aaron Nesmith (Questionable) Shin
• Bennedict Mathurin (Questionable) Ankle

Kings

None

At 10:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (-312) will host the Indiana Pacers (+246) in a non-conference matchup. The Kings (23-17) are favored by 7.5 points over the Pacers (23-17), who have lost two straight games.

This game will take place at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento and can be seen on NBCS. The over/under line is set at 246 points.

Recent Form

Indiana is 23-17 this season and is currently 7th in the Eastern Conference. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 20-11 compared to 3-6 against the West.

The Pacers have lost their last two games, most recently falling to the Jazz by a score of 132-105. Indiana was a 7.5-point underdog in that game.

This season, Indiana is 11-8 as the underdog and 12-10 overall. Their ATS record as the underdog is 13-9, with an average scoring differential of -4.3 points per game.

On the road, the Pacers are 11-8 against the spread and have an ATS record of 10-8 as the underdog. Their straight-up road record is 10-9.

The average O/U line in Indiana’s games this season is 244.3, and their games have averaged 249 points per game. The under has hit in their last four games.

Indiana will be looking to bounce back from their loss to the Jazz as 7.5-point underdogs. The final score in that game was 132-105, and the O/U line was 245.5.

Sacramento is looking to snap a three-game losing streak as they host the Pacers. Despite being favored in each of their last three games, the Kings have lost all three. Today, they are favored by 7.5 points.

In their last game, the Kings lost to the Suns by a score of 119-117. The O/U line for that game was 244 points. Sacramento covered the spread as 4.5-point underdogs.

This season, the Kings have an O/U record of 19-20-1, with an average combined scoring total of 236 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 246 points, which is higher than 37 of their previous games.

Sacramento’s ATS record for the season is 22-18, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. At home, they are 9-11 ATS, and their average scoring margin at home is 0 points per game.

Overall, the Kings are 23-17 this season, which is good for 6th place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 15-13 and 5-5 against their division. In non-conference games, they are 8-4.

The Historicals

Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Kings have averaged 109 points per game compared to 103 for Indiana. This has led to an ATS record of 3-2 for Sacramento. A combined average of 212 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

Analysis

So far this season, the Pacers have been the NBA’s highest-scoring team, averaging 125.6 points per game. They are also the league’s top-ranked team in field goal percentage at 50%. In terms of pace, they are 2nd in the NBA at 102.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Pacers are 6th in the league in made threes at 14.2 per game. Overall, they have hit 38% of their attempts from beyond the arc.

On the road, Indiana is averaging 123.4 points per game this season. In terms of two-point shooting, they are 1st in the NBA at 59%.

On defense, the Pacers are ranked 29th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 72.5% of their games. In terms of takeaways, the Pacers are causing 13.1 turnovers per game, ranking 16th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 5th in rejections, averaging 6.2 blocked shots each game.

So far this season, the Kings have been one of the most potent offenses in the league, averaging 118.2 points per game (8th). At home, they are averaging 121.3 points per game (7th).

When it comes to pace, the Kings are 8th in the league at 100.3 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Sacramento is 15th at 47%.

One area where the Kings have excelled is in three-point shooting. They are 3rd in both three-point attempts (40.6) and make (15.1) per game. Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc (12th).

Coming into today’s game, the Kings’ defense is giving up an average of 117.8 points per contest. The Sacramento defense has allowed opponents to shoot 38.7% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.6% of their field goal attempts vs. Sacramento.

Betting Trends

• Across their last five road contests, Indiana has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 116 points per game.
• When looking at their past three home matchups, Sacramento has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 117 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
• In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Pacers have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
• As the betting favorite, the Kings have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 2-1.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The big news surrounding this game is the Pacers making a move for Pascal Siakam. But as for my favorite bet of the day in this matchup, I’m taking the under at 246 points. Even though these teams love to push the pace, I don’t see the Pacers scoring enough in this one to go over 246. I like the under today.