Heat vs. Wizards Point Spread Winner 11/18/22

Miami Heat (7-8 SU, 4-11-0 ATS) vs. Washington Wizards (8-7 SU, 8-7-0 ATS)

When: Friday, November 18th, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: Capital One Arena, DC, Washington

TV: NBC

Point Spread: MIA -0.5/ WAS -0.5 (Deposit $100 and get $100 FREE when you use bonus code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!)

Total: 218.5

Money Line: Miami Heat -110/ -110

Notable Injuries

Heat

• Dewayne Dedmon (Questionable) Foot
• Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
• Udonis Haslem (Out) Personal
• Bam Adebayo (Questionable) Knee
• Tyler Herro (Out) Ankle
• Caleb Martin (Questionable) Knee
• Ömer Yurtseven (Out) Ankle

Wizards

• Delon Wright (Out) Hamstring
• Jordan Goodwin (Questionable) Knee

Recent Form

The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 7-8. So far, the team has gone 4-11-0 against the spread. In the team’s past three games, their overall mark sits at 2-1. Miami is 1-2 vs. the spread in these matchups.

Not only did the Heat drop their last game to the Raptors. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 112-104 as 3-point underdogs. Miami let an opportunity for a win slip away as they held the lead going into the 2nd half of action. Leading the team in scoring was Max Strus, as he contributed 20 points while hitting 54.5% of his shots.

So far, the Wizards have put together an overall record of 8-7 while going 8-7-0 vs. the spread. Over the team’s past three games, Washington has an overall record of 2-1, including going 2-1 against the spread.

In their previous game, the Wizards were favored to win vs. the Thunder. However, their 121-120 loss gave them both a straight-up and ATS defeat. Washington let an opportunity for a win slip home as they held a lead going into the 2nd half of action. Leading the team in scoring was Kristaps Porzingis, as he contributed 27 points while hitting 53.3% of his shots.

The Historicals

Going back to last season, the Heat took the season series 3-1. This mark came while splitting their games with Washington on the road. Similar to their season-long average, the Heat averaged 113.0 points per game vs. the Wizards. While the Heat were able to maintain their usual level of production against Washington, the Wizards averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 103.0. Across the previous five meetings between the teams, the Heat have an average scoring margin of +13 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. A combined average of 215 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Analysis

Through 15 games, the Heat are averaging 110.3 points per contest, placing them 20th in the NBA. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.3 made 3’s per game. If Miami continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 26th in the league in possessions per game.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Heat are giving up an average of 105.57 points per game, good for 4th in the NBA.

Before getting a bet down on this matchup, be sure to check in on the health status of Bam Adebayo who is 2nd on the team in scoring at 19.07 points per game. At the time of this article, Adebayo is listed as questionable. For the season, he is 2nd on the team in usage rate and is 107th in the NBA in player efficiency rating. If he is able to play, Miami will benefit from having both of their top scorers, as Jimmy Butler leads the team and is 38th in the league in scoring (20.92). For today’s matchup, he will be going against a defense ranked 20th in points allowed to small forwards.

The Wizards come into today’s game as the 25th-ranked scoring offense at 108.9 points per game. So far, the Wizards are averaging 97.8 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. If the Wizards’ offense is going to turn things around, they will need to either generate more possessions or improve their overall efficiency. Currently, they are just the 18th-ranked team in 3-point shooting percentage.

Against the Heat, the Wizards will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 16th in points allowed.

Center Kristaps Porzingis currently leads the Heat at 21.0 points per game. For the season, he is 66th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 16.9% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Porzingis is averaging 8.21 boards and 2.5 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 2nd ranked defense at defending centers. Kyle Kuzma enters the game, sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 15 games, he is averaging 18.33 and is 181st in the league in player efficiency rating.

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Betting Trends

• Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up loss.
• Heat are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
• Wizards are 5-0 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Washington Wizards are beating good teams at home. The Miami Heat have dropped their last four road games. Herro is out, Bam is questionable, and Martin is questionable as well. I love the Wizards on the money line Friday night! Bet your NBA games for FREE this weekend by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus (or more) via one of the bookies on our Sportsbook Promo Codes page!