Heat vs. Celtics (Game 7) Prop Bet

Miami Heat (44-38 SU, 44-55-2 ATS) vs. Boston Celtics (57-25 SU, 54-45-2 ATS)

When: Monday, May 29th, 8:30 PM (ET)

Where: TD Garden, MA, Boston

TV: TNT

Point Spread: Mia +7/Bos -7 (Stop overpaying for odds! No more -110! Lay only -105 at BAS!)

Total: 204

Money Line: Miami Heat +243/-300

Notable Injuries

Heat

• Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
• Gabe Vincent (Questionable) Ankle
• Tyler Herro (Out) Hand

Celtics

• Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee
• Malcolm Brogdon (Questionable) Forearm

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Miami is 44-38 overall. When taking to the road, Miami has a mark of 17-24 and a win percentage of 41%. Currently, the team is 8th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 44-55-2 vs. the spread. Miami travels to take on the Celtics, hoping to avoid their 4th straight loss.

Miami will be looking to shake off a 104-103 loss to the Celtics. Jimmy Butler finished the game with a team-high 24 points on 23.8% shooting. In terms of betting, the Heat covered the spread. Heading into the game, they were 2 point underdogs.

Heading into the game, Boston is 57-25 overall. When playing at home, Boston has a mark of 32-9 and a win percentage of 78%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 54-45-2 vs. the spread. Boston will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Miami, as they are the winners of 3 straight games.

The Celtics from Boston triumphed in their last match against the Heat, achieving a 104-103 victory. Jayson Tatum had the most points for the Celtics with 31. Despite the win, the Celtics did not cover the spread as 2-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the most recent game between the two teams, the Celtics picked up a 104-103 win over the Heat. However, heading into the game, Boston was favored to win by 2.5 points, giving the Heat and ATS victory. So far, the two teams have split their season series, with each team at 5-5. This has resulted in a 3-2 ATS record for Miami. Miami and Boston averaged a combined 214 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

This season, Miami is averaging just 109.5 points per game, which places them 37th in the league and are averaging 96.2 possessions per game. Miami’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 34.4% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 34.8 3-point shots per game, placing them 17th in the NBA. Defensively, the Heat have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.57 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.0%.

Jimmy Butler is pacing the Heat with an average of 22.9 points per game.

For the season, Boston has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 117.9 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 99.3 possessions per contest. Boston’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 9th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.7%. Defensively, the Celtics have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.48 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.86%.

Jayson Tatum is the top scorer for Boston, averaging 30.1 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 46.6%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Jaylen Brown, with an average of 26.6 points per game.

Betting Trends

• The Heat are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
• The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• The Celtics are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
• The Celtics are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

I have no idea who covers this spread. I’m betting Marcus Smart over 14.5 points. Note: We made mentioin of how you can bet at cheaper odds at BAS above. For more info on how this works, check out our reduced vig article!